Championship

Championship | Gameweek 25

Jan 1, 2025 at 3pm UK

Turf Moor

Burnley
0 - 0
Stoke

Anthony (90+5')

Moran (13'), Gooch (76'), Tchamadeu (84'), Gallagher (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Burnley and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burnley

All competitions

Last Game: Middlesbrough 0-0 Burnley
Sunday, December 29 at 8pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Stoke City

All competitions

Last Game: Stoke 1-0 Sunderland
Sunday, December 29 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 52.95%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Stoke City had a probability of 23.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%), while for a Stoke City win it was 0-1 (6.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
Burnley	Draw	Stoke City
52.95% ( 0.49)	24.03% ( -0.14)	23.02% ( -0.35)

Both teams to score 52.69% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.49% (

0.24)

48.51% (

-0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.36% (

0.22)

70.64% (

-0.21)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.73% (

0.28)

18.27% (

-0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.67% (

0.47)

49.33% (

-0.47)

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.47% (

-0.19)

35.53% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.71% (

-0.19)

72.29% (

0.2)

Score Analysis

Burnley 52.95%

Stoke City 23.02%

Draw 24.02%

Burnley	Draw	Stoke City
1-0 @ 11.03% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.71% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9.38% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 5.5% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 5.31% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.85% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.34% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 2.26% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.37% Total : 52.95%	1-1 @ 11.41% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 6.49% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.02% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.02%	0-1 @ 6.72% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 3.48% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.95% Total : 23.02%