Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 71.4%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 10.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.72%) and 3-0 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.61%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (4%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.