/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fplylog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F20%2F53%2Fburlog_1.png)
-
Matthew Sorinola
88'
-
Zian Flemming
11'
-
Zian Flemming
31'
-
Josh Laurent
34'
-
Josh Laurent
45'
-
Josh Cullen
45'+2'
Plymouth Argyle vs Burnley - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F01%2Fscott-parker.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 50.24%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 24.98% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.53%) and 0-2 (8.96%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.
Result
Plymouth Argyle
24.98%
▲
(+0.17)
Draw
24.78%
▼
(-0.15)
Burnley
50.24%
▼
(-0.03)
Both Teams to Score:
52.5%
▲
(+0.60)
Goals
Over 2.5
50.18%
▲
(+0.71)
Under 2.5
49.82%
▼
(-0.72)
Over 3.5
28.18%
▲
(+0.63)
Under 3.5
71.82%
▼
(-0.64)
Over 4.5
13.43%
▲
(+0.42)
Under 4.5
86.56%
▼
(-0.43)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5
65.49%
▲
(+0.54)
Under 0.5
34.5%
▼
(-0.54)
Over 1.5
28.77%
▲
(+0.56)
Under 1.5
71.22%
▼
(-0.57)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5
80.15%
▲
(+0.27)
Under 0.5
19.84%
▼
(-0.27)
Over 1.5
48.07%
▲
(+0.44)
Under 1.5
51.93%
▼
(-0.44)
Score analysis
Plymouth Argyle
24.98%
Draw
24.78%
Burnley
50.24%
Plymouth Argyle
1-0
@
7.28%
▼
(-0.11)
2-1 @ 6.27% ▲ (+0.06)
2-0 @ 3.88%
3-1 @ 2.22% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 1.8% ▲ (+0.06)
3-0 @ 1.38% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 24.98%
2-1 @ 6.27% ▲ (+0.06)
2-0 @ 3.88%
3-1 @ 2.22% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 1.8% ▲ (+0.06)
3-0 @ 1.38% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 24.98%
Draw
1-1
@
11.78%
▼
(-0.08)
0-0 @ 6.85% ▼ (-0.21)
2-2 @ 5.07% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 1.08%
Total : 24.78%
0-0 @ 6.85% ▼ (-0.21)
2-2 @ 5.07% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 1.08%
Total : 24.78%
Burnley
0-1
@
11.07%
▼
(-0.24)
1-2 @ 9.53% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 8.96% ▼ (-0.11)
1-3 @ 5.14% ▲ (+0.06)
0-3 @ 4.83% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.73% ▲ (+0.07)
1-4 @ 2.08% ▲ (+0.05)
0-4 @ 1.95% ▲ (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.11% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 50.24%
1-2 @ 9.53% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 8.96% ▼ (-0.11)
1-3 @ 5.14% ▲ (+0.06)
0-3 @ 4.83% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.73% ▲ (+0.07)
1-4 @ 2.08% ▲ (+0.05)
0-4 @ 1.95% ▲ (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.11% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 50.24%
