Championship

Championship | Gameweek 28

Jan 22, 2025 at 8pm UK

Home Park

Plymouth
0 - 5
Burnley

Sorinola (88')

FT(HT: 0-5)

Flemming (11', 31'), Laurent (34', 45'), Cullen (45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Plymouth Argyle and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Plymouth 0-1 QPR
Saturday, January 18 at 12.30pm in Championship

Goals
for

Burnley

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Burnley 0-0 Sunderland
Friday, January 17 at 8pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 50.24%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 24.98% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.53%) and 0-2 (8.96%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
Plymouth Argyle	Draw	Burnley
24.98% ( 0.17)	24.78% ( -0.14)	50.24% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 52.5% (

0.6)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.18% (

0.71)

49.82% (

-0.71)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.18% (

0.63)

71.82% (

-0.63)

Plymouth Argyle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.49% (

0.53)

34.5% (

-0.53)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.77% (

0.56)

71.22% (

-0.56)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.15% (

0.27)

19.84% (

-0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.07% (

0.43)

51.93% (

-0.44)

Score Analysis

Plymouth Argyle 24.98%

Burnley 50.24%

Draw 24.78%

Plymouth Argyle	Draw	Burnley
1-0 @ 7.28% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 6.27% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 3.88% 3-1 @ 2.22% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.8% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 1.38% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.16% Total : 24.98%	1-1 @ 11.78% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 6.85% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 5.07% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.78%	0-1 @ 11.07% ( -0.23) 1-2 @ 9.53% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 8.96% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 5.14% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 4.83% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.73% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 2.08% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 1.95% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.85% Total : 50.24%