FA Cup

FA Cup | Third Round

Jan 11, 2025 at 3pm UK

Brentford Community Stadium

Brentford
0 - 1
Plymouth

FT(HT: 0-0)

Whittaker (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Brentford and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brentford

All competitions

Last Game: Southampton 0-5 Brentford
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions

Last Game: Stoke 0-0 Plymouth
Saturday, January 4 at 12.30pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 59.65%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 20.55% and a draw had a probability of 19.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.61%) and 3-1 (7.14%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 1-2 (5.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result
Brentford	Draw	Plymouth Argyle
59.65% ( 0.22)	19.8% ( -0.07)	20.55% ( -0.15)

Both teams to score 63.91% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.86% (

0.16)

32.13% (

-0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.27% (

0.19)

53.72% (

-0.19)

Brentford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.37% (

0.1)

10.63% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.54% (

0.23)

34.45% (

-0.24)

Plymouth Argyle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.51% (

-0.04)

28.49% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.74% (

-0.04)

64.26% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Brentford 59.65%

Plymouth Argyle 20.55%

Draw 19.8%

Brentford	Draw	Plymouth Argyle
2-1 @ 9.55% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.61% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.14% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 6.79% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 5.68% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 4.48% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 4% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 3.19% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 2.51% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.79% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.02) 5-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) 4-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.31% Total : 59.65%	1-1 @ 8.52% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.03% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.88% ( 0) Other @ 0.37% Total : 19.8%	1-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 3.8% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.26% Total : 20.55%