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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 40.96%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 34.08% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.7%) and 0-2 (6.53%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Bristol City |
| 34.08% ( | 24.96% ( | 40.96% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.49% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.17% ( | 45.83% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.86% ( | 68.14% ( |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74% ( | 26% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.98% ( | 61.02% ( |
| Bristol City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.69% ( | 22.31% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.22% ( | 55.78% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Bristol City |
| 2-1 @ 7.9% ( 1-0 @ 7.82% ( 2-0 @ 5.26% ( 3-1 @ 3.55% ( 3-2 @ 2.66% ( 3-0 @ 2.36% ( 4-1 @ 1.19% ( Other @ 3.35% Total : 34.08% | 1-1 @ 11.72% ( 2-2 @ 5.92% ( 0-0 @ 5.8% ( 3-3 @ 1.33% ( Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.96% | 1-2 @ 8.79% ( 0-1 @ 8.7% ( 0-2 @ 6.53% ( 1-3 @ 4.4% ( 0-3 @ 3.26% ( 2-3 @ 2.96% ( 1-4 @ 1.65% ( 0-4 @ 1.22% ( 2-4 @ 1.11% ( Other @ 2.34% Total : 40.96% |