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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 56.66%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 19.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.51%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.17%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (6.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stoke City | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
| 56.66% ( | 23.51% ( | 19.83% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.89% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.97% ( | 50.03% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.99% ( | 72% ( |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.54% ( | 17.46% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.07% ( | 47.92% ( |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.44% ( | 39.55% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.76% ( | 76.24% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Stoke City | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
| 1-0 @ 12.05% ( 2-0 @ 10.51% ( 2-1 @ 9.76% ( 3-0 @ 6.12% ( 3-1 @ 5.68% ( 4-0 @ 2.67% ( 3-2 @ 2.63% ( 4-1 @ 2.48% ( 4-2 @ 1.15% ( 5-0 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 2.68% Total : 56.65% | 1-1 @ 11.17% ( 0-0 @ 6.9% ( 2-2 @ 4.52% ( Other @ 0.9% Total : 23.5% | 0-1 @ 6.4% ( 1-2 @ 5.18% ( 0-2 @ 2.97% ( 1-3 @ 1.6% ( 2-3 @ 1.4% ( 0-3 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 1.35% Total : 19.83% |