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Plymouth Argyle
Championship | Gameweek 19
Jan 14, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Home Park
Oxford United

Plymouth
1 - 1
Oxford Utd

Hajal (64')
Gyabi (78')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Vaulks (44')
Brown (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Plymouth Argyle and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Plymouth Argyle 2-1 Oxford United

On paper, this has all the makings of being a tight contest. However, there is no comparison when it comes to Plymouth's home record and Oxford's efforts away from the Kassam Stadium, and Rooney's side are the clear favourites to prevail here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 42.21%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 32.76% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 0-1 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result
Plymouth ArgyleDrawOxford United
42.21% (-0.91699999999999 -0.92) 25.03% (-0.037000000000003 -0.04) 32.76% (0.955 0.95)
Both teams to score 56.84% (0.489 0.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.5% (0.477 0.48)46.5% (-0.478 -0.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.22% (0.448 0.45)68.78% (-0.449 -0.45)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78% (-0.227 -0.23)22% (0.226 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.69% (-0.344 -0.34)55.31% (0.344 0.34)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.87% (0.837 0.84)27.13% (-0.838 -0.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.48% (1.081 1.08)62.52% (-1.081 -1.08)
Score Analysis
    Plymouth Argyle 42.21%
    Oxford United 32.76%
    Draw 25.02%
Plymouth ArgyleDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 9.04% (-0.246 -0.25)
2-1 @ 8.93% (-0.090999999999999 -0.09)
2-0 @ 6.84% (-0.235 -0.23)
3-1 @ 4.5% (-0.077000000000001 -0.08)
3-0 @ 3.45% (-0.143 -0.14)
3-2 @ 2.94% (0.019 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.71% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.31% (-0.063 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 42.21%
1-1 @ 11.78% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.97% (-0.122 -0.12)
2-2 @ 5.82% (0.078 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.28% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.02%
0-1 @ 7.79% (0.028 0.03)
1-2 @ 7.69% (0.154 0.15)
0-2 @ 5.08% (0.136 0.14)
1-3 @ 3.34% (0.143 0.14)
2-3 @ 2.53% (0.092 0.09)
0-3 @ 2.21% (0.109 0.11)
1-4 @ 1.09% (0.071 0.07)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 32.76%

How you voted: Plymouth vs Oxford Utd

Plymouth Argyle
62.6%
Draw
17.6%
Oxford United
19.8%
91
Head to Head
Dec 29, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 24
Oxford Utd
2-0
Plymouth
Brown (14'), Placheta (61')

Sorinola (65'), Roberts (73')
Feb 14, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Oxford Utd
1-3
Plymouth
Brannagan (44')
Butcher (19'), Earley (65'), Hardie (90+3')
Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 41
Plymouth
1-0
Oxford Utd
Edwards (56')
Cooper (90+4')

Brown (45+1'), Bodin (76'), Taylor (82')
Oct 16, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 13
Oxford Utd
1-3
Plymouth
Taylor (5')
Garrick (11'), Camara (39', 84')
Scarr (31')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley27141123192253
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland27149439221751
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2612683123842
6Middlesbrough26118743321141
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
8Watford26115103637-138
9Bristol City2691073330337
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Queens Park RangersQPR2781183034-435
13Swansea CitySwansea2797113033-334
14Millwall2679102424030
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2678112941-1229
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Cardiff CityCardiff2769122941-1227
21Hull City2768132636-1026
22Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
23Portsmouth2558123044-1423
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2749142555-3021


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