Championship

Championship | Gameweek 19

Jan 14, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Home Park

Plymouth
1 - 1
Oxford Utd

Hajal (64')
Gyabi (78')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Vaulks (44')
Brown (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Plymouth Argyle and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Brentford 0-1 Plymouth
Saturday, January 11 at 3pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Oxford United

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Exeter 3-1 Oxford Utd
Saturday, January 11 at 3pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 42.21%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 32.76% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 0-1 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result
Plymouth Argyle	Draw	Oxford United
42.21% ( -0.92)	25.03% ( -0.04)	32.76% ( 0.95)

Both teams to score 56.84% (

0.49)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.5% (

0.48)

46.5% (

-0.48)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.22% (

0.45)

68.78% (

-0.45)

Plymouth Argyle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78% (

-0.23)

22% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.69% (

-0.34)

55.31% (

0.34)

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.87% (

0.84)

27.13% (

-0.84)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.48% (

1.08)

62.52% (

-1.08)

Score Analysis

Plymouth Argyle 42.21%

Oxford United 32.76%

Draw 25.02%

Plymouth Argyle	Draw	Oxford United
1-0 @ 9.04% ( -0.25) 2-1 @ 8.93% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 6.84% ( -0.23) 3-1 @ 4.5% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 3.45% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 2.94% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.71% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.39% Total : 42.21%	1-1 @ 11.78% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.97% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 5.82% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.02%	0-1 @ 7.79% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.69% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 5.08% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 3.34% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.11) 1-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.03% Total : 32.76%