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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 64.42%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 14.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.66%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.82%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (4.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Oxford United | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
| 64.42% | 20.64% | 14.94% |
| Both teams to score 49.21% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.05% | 45.95% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.75% | 68.26% |
| Oxford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.48% | 13.53% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.41% | 40.59% |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.9% | 43.1% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.63% | 79.37% |
| Score Analysis |
| Oxford United | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
| 1-0 @ 11.66% 2-0 @ 11.66% 2-1 @ 9.82% 3-0 @ 7.78% 3-1 @ 6.55% 4-0 @ 3.89% 4-1 @ 3.28% 3-2 @ 2.76% 5-0 @ 1.56% 4-2 @ 1.38% 5-1 @ 1.31% Other @ 2.78% Total : 64.41% | 1-1 @ 9.82% 0-0 @ 5.83% 2-2 @ 4.13% Other @ 0.86% Total : 20.64% | 0-1 @ 4.91% 1-2 @ 4.13% 0-2 @ 2.07% 1-3 @ 1.16% 2-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 1.52% Total : 14.94% |