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Championship | Gameweek 25
Jan 1, 2025 at 1pm UK
The Den
Oxford United

Millwall
0 - 1
Oxford Utd

FT(HT: 0-0)
Rodrigues (57')
Brannagan (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Millwall and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Coventry 0-0 Millwall
Sunday, December 29 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Oxford Utd 2-0 Plymouth
Sunday, December 29 at 3pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 54.64%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Oxford United had a probability of 19.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.73%) and 2-1 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for a Oxford United win it was 0-1 (8.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.

Result
MillwallDrawOxford United
54.64% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07)26.34% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)19.01% (0.083000000000002 0.08)
Both teams to score 41.06% (0.143 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.89% (0.119 0.12)61.1% (-0.119 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.93% (0.09 0.09)81.07% (-0.087999999999994 -0.09)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.4% (0.018999999999991 0.02)22.59% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.8% (0.029000000000003 0.03)56.2% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.05% (0.171 0.17)46.95% (-0.171 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.55% (0.129 0.13)82.45% (-0.128 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 54.63%
    Oxford United 19.01%
    Draw 26.33%
MillwallDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 15.77% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-0 @ 11.73% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 8.87% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.82% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.4% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.16% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 1.66% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.64% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 54.63%
1-1 @ 11.93% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 10.6% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-2 @ 3.36% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 26.33%
0-1 @ 8.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 4.51% (0.026 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.03% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.14% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 19.01%

How you voted: Millwall vs Oxford Utd

Millwall
64.6%
Draw
20.8%
Oxford United
14.6%
48
Head to Head
Nov 30, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 18
Oxford Utd
1-1
Millwall
Goodrham (85')
Tanganga (45')
Tanganga (3'), Leonard (59'), Bryan (64'), Saville (90+1')
Aug 27, 2019 7.45pm
Second Round
Oxford Utd
2-2
Millwall
(Aggregate 2-2 | Oxford Utd win 4-2 on penalties)
Sykes (87'), Henry (94' pen.)
Sykes (58'), Mousinho (69'), Hanson (73'), Berkoe (80')
Dadi Bodvarsson (29', 52')
Apr 22, 2017 3pm
Oct 29, 2016 1pm
Oxford Utd
1-2
Millwall
Sercombe (31')
Skarz (26'), Edwards (52'), Rothwell (65'), Maguire (68')
Morison (36'), O'Brien (50')
Romeo (9'), Thompson (23'), Ferguson (67'), Morison (93')
Feb 2, 2016 7.45pm
Area Finals
Oxford Utd
0-1
Millwall
Gregory (54')
Cummings (59'), Beevers (62')
Beevers (65')