Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 46.1%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Oxford United had a probability of 26.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.01%) and 2-1 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.77%), while for a Oxford United win it was 0-1 (9.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.