Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 46.62%. A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 28.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 0-1 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Queens Park Rangers would win this match.