FA Cup

FA Cup | Third Round

Jan 11, 2025 at 2pm UK

King Power Stadium

Leicester
6 - 2
QPR

Justin (8', 63'), Mavididi (35'), Buonanotte (38'), Vardy (51' pen.), Faes (90+3')

FT(HT: 3-2)

Varane (18'), Kolli (45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Leicester City and Queens Park Rangers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leicester City

All competitions

Last Game: Aston Villa 2-1 Leicester
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Queens Park Rangers

All competitions

Last Game: QPR 2-1 Luton
Monday, January 6 at 8pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 47.1%. A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 27.89% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 0-1 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
Leicester City	Draw	Queens Park Rangers
47.1% ( 0.17)	25% ( -0.05)	27.89% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 54.3% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.36% (

0.13)

48.64% (

-0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.24% (

0.12)

70.75% (

-0.13)

Leicester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.31% (

0.13)

20.68% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.72% (

0.2)

53.28% (

-0.21)

Queens Park Rangers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.46% (

-0.03)

31.54% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.06% (

-0.03)

67.94% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Leicester City 47.1%

Queens Park Rangers 27.89%

Draw 25%

Leicester City	Draw	Queens Park Rangers
1-0 @ 10.28% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.35% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.1% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.91% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.26% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.83% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.93% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.68% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.65% Total : 47.1%	1-1 @ 11.86% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.52% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.39% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25%	0-1 @ 7.53% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 6.84% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.63% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.07% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.8% Total : 27.89%