Championship

Championship | Gameweek 26

Jan 4, 2025 at 3pm UK

Riverside Stadium

Middlesbrough
1 - 1
Cardiff

Latte Lath (12')
Doak (75'), Barlaser (89')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Chambers (21')
O'Dowda (30'), Rinomhota (76'), Robertson (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Middlesbrough

All competitions

Last Game: Hull City 0-1 Middlesbrough
Wednesday, January 1 at 5.30pm in Championship

Goals
for

Cardiff City

All competitions

Last Game: Cardiff 1-1 Coventry
Wednesday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 55.79%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 20.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.02%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.

Result
Middlesbrough	Draw	Cardiff City
55.79% ( -0.26)	23.41% ( 0.06)	20.81% ( 0.2)

Both teams to score 51.68% (

0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.6% (

0.01)

48.4% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.46% (

0.02)

70.54% (

-0.02)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.82% (

-0.09)

17.18% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.56% (

-0.16)

47.44% (

0.16)

Cardiff City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.39% (

0.22)

37.61% (

-0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.62% (

0.21)

74.39% (

-0.21)

Score Analysis

Middlesbrough 55.78%

Cardiff City 20.81%

Draw 23.41%

Middlesbrough	Draw	Cardiff City
1-0 @ 11.38% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 10.02% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.8% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.88% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 5.76% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.81% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.59% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.53% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.24% ( -0) 5-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.85% Total : 55.78%	1-1 @ 11.13% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.46% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.79% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.41%	0-1 @ 6.32% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 3.09% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.61% Total : 20.81%