Championship

Championship | Gameweek 27

Jan 18, 2025 at 3.35pm UK

Fratton Park

Portsmouth
2 - 1
Middlesbrough

Ritchie (54', 82')
Ritchie (40')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Latte Lath (30')
Doak (24'), Edmundson (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Portsmouth and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portsmouth

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Blackburn 3-0 Portsmouth
Wednesday, January 15 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Middlesbrough

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Middlesbrough 0-1 Blackburn
Saturday, January 11 at 12pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 49.8%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 26.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.33%) and 0-2 (8.04%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 2-1 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
Portsmouth	Draw	Middlesbrough
26.44% ( 0.04)	23.75% ( -0.02)	49.8% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 57.22% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.77% (

0.11)

44.23% (

-0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.39% (

0.11)

66.6% (

-0.11)

Portsmouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.66% (

0.09)

30.34% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.47% (

0.11)

66.52% (

-0.11)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.15% (

0.03)

17.85% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.39% (

0.05)

48.61% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Portsmouth 26.44%

Middlesbrough 49.81%

Draw 23.75%

Portsmouth	Draw	Middlesbrough
2-1 @ 6.64% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.46% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 3.85% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.64% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.27% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.53% ( 0) Other @ 3.05% Total : 26.44%	1-1 @ 11.13% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.72% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.42% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.75%	1-2 @ 9.59% ( -0) 0-1 @ 9.33% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 8.04% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 5.51% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 4.62% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.29% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.37% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.99% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.42% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.65% Total : 49.81%