Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 48.88%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 25.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.78%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 0-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.