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Championship | Gameweek 29
Jan 25, 2025 at 12.30pm UK
Carrow Road
Swansea logo

Norwich
5 - 1
Swansea

Sargent (44', 63'), Dobbin (76'), Crnac (84'), Marcondes (87')
Schwartau (53'), Marcondes (61')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Cullen (62')
Fulton (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leeds 2-0 Norwich
Wednesday, January 22 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 1-2 Sheff Utd
Tuesday, January 21 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Norwich City 1-0 Swansea City

Both sides have endured difficult times in recent weeks, but we are going with the hosts to take the three points this weekend. Norwich have a good record at home, and the Swans have lost four on the bounce away from home, so we expect the hosts to taste success here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 44.06%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 31.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 1-2 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.

Result
Norwich CityDrawSwansea City
44.06% (0.69600000000001 0.7) 24.69% (0.042999999999999 0.04) 31.24% (-0.741 -0.74)
Both teams to score 57.36% (-0.485 -0.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.46% (-0.49 -0.49)45.54% (0.489 0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.13% (-0.467 -0.47)67.87% (0.46599999999999 0.47)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.25% (0.108 0.11)20.75% (-0.108 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.62% (0.17 0.17)53.38% (-0.172 -0.17)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.38% (-0.712 -0.71)27.62% (0.711 0.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.84% (-0.927 -0.93)63.16% (0.926 0.93)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 44.06%
    Swansea City 31.24%
    Draw 24.69%
Norwich CityDrawSwansea City
2-1 @ 9.12% (0.068 0.07)
1-0 @ 9.01% (0.216 0.22)
2-0 @ 7.09% (0.193 0.19)
3-1 @ 4.78% (0.052 0.05)
3-0 @ 3.72% (0.113 0.11)
3-2 @ 3.08% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.88% (0.027 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.46% (0.049 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.21% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 44.06%
1-1 @ 11.59% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.87% (-0.075 -0.08)
0-0 @ 5.73% (0.118 0.12)
3-3 @ 1.32% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.69%
1-2 @ 7.46% (-0.121 -0.12)
0-1 @ 7.37% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.74% (-0.093 -0.09)
1-3 @ 3.2% (-0.118 -0.12)
2-3 @ 2.52% (-0.083 -0.08)
0-3 @ 2.03% (-0.082 -0.08)
1-4 @ 1.03% (-0.059 -0.06)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 31.24%

How you voted: Norwich vs Swansea

Norwich City
73.0%
Draw
13.5%
Swansea City
13.5%
37
Head to Head
Sep 14, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 5
Swansea
1-0
Norwich
Forson (4' og.)
Darling (53'), Key (88')

Nunez (45+1'), McLean (48'), Duffy (67')
Apr 27, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 45
Norwich
2-2
Swansea
Sara (34'), Sargent (45+3')
Gunn (53'), McCallum (77'), McLean (90')
Paterson (24'), Grimes (53' pen.)
Paterson (45'), Cullen (57')
Oct 4, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Swansea
2-1
Norwich
Lowe (3'), Humphreys (83')
Lowe (48'), Key (52'), Cullen (55'), Cooper (76')
Sara (22')
Gibson (18'), Rowe (61')
Apr 22, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 44
Norwich
0-3
Swansea
Latibeaudiere (23'), Cullen (39'), Ntcham (64')
Dec 10, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 22
Swansea
0-1
Norwich
Pukki (1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd33226547232470
2Leeds UnitedLeeds32209366194769
3Burnley33171423993065
4Sunderland321711449282162
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn33156123931851
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom331115742311148
7Coventry CityCoventry33138124441347
8Bristol City33111394137446
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds33129124650-445
10Watford33136144348-545
11Middlesbrough32128125043744
12Norwich CityNorwich331111115145644
13Queens Park RangersQPR331111113941-244
14Millwall321011113233-141
15Preston North EndPreston3291493438-441
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd33911133447-1338
17Swansea CitySwansea33107163446-1237
18Portsmouth3399154155-1436
19Stoke CityStoke32811133140-935
20Cardiff CityCardiff32711143554-1932
21Hull City3279163243-1130
22Derby CountyDerby3378183346-1329
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth32610163466-3228
24Luton TownLuton3276193052-2227


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