/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fnorlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fswalog.png)
-
Joshua Sargent
44'
-
Oscar Schwartau
53'
-
Emiliano Marcondes
61'
-
Joshua Sargent
63'
-
Lewis Dobbin
76'
-
Ante Crnac
84'
-
Emiliano Marcondes
87'
-
Liam Cullen
62'
-
Jay Fulton
90'+4'
Norwich City vs Swansea City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F52%2Fluke-williams.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 44.06%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 31.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 1-2 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.
Result
Norwich City
44.06%
▲
(+0.70)
Draw
24.69%
▲
(+0.05)
Swansea City
31.24%
▼
(-0.75)
Both Teams to Score:
57.36%
▼
(-0.49)
Goals
Over 2.5
54.46%
▼
(-0.50)
Under 2.5
45.54%
▲
(+0.49)
Over 3.5
32.13%
▼
(-0.47)
Under 3.5
67.87%
▲
(+0.47)
Over 4.5
16.17%
▼
(-0.34)
Under 4.5
83.83%
▲
(+0.34)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5
79.25%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 0.5
20.75%
▼
(-0.11)
Over 1.5
46.62%
▲
(+0.18)
Under 1.5
53.38%
▼
(-0.18)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5
72.38%
▼
(-0.72)
Under 0.5
27.62%
▲
(+0.72)
Over 1.5
36.84%
▼
(-0.93)
Under 1.5
63.16%
▲
(+0.93)
Score analysis
Norwich City
44.06%
Draw
24.69%
Swansea City
31.24%
Norwich City
2-1
@
9.12%
▲
(+0.07)
1-0 @ 9.01% ▲ (+0.22)
2-0 @ 7.09% ▲ (+0.20)
3-1 @ 4.78% ▲ (+0.06)
3-0 @ 3.72% ▲ (+0.12)
3-2 @ 3.08% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 1.88% ▲ (+0.03)
4-0 @ 1.46% ▲ (+0.05)
4-2 @ 1.21% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 44.06%
1-0 @ 9.01% ▲ (+0.22)
2-0 @ 7.09% ▲ (+0.20)
3-1 @ 4.78% ▲ (+0.06)
3-0 @ 3.72% ▲ (+0.12)
3-2 @ 3.08% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 1.88% ▲ (+0.03)
4-0 @ 1.46% ▲ (+0.05)
4-2 @ 1.21% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 44.06%
Draw
1-1
@
11.59%
▲
(+0.06)
2-2 @ 5.87% ▼ (-0.08)
0-0 @ 5.73% ▲ (+0.12)
3-3 @ 1.32% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.69%
2-2 @ 5.87% ▼ (-0.08)
0-0 @ 5.73% ▲ (+0.12)
3-3 @ 1.32% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.69%
Swansea City
1-2
@
7.46%
▼
(-0.13)
0-1 @ 7.37% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.74% ▼ (-0.10)
1-3 @ 3.2% ▼ (-0.12)
2-3 @ 2.52% ▼ (-0.09)
0-3 @ 2.03% ▼ (-0.09)
1-4 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 31.24%
0-1 @ 7.37% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.74% ▼ (-0.10)
1-3 @ 3.2% ▼ (-0.12)
2-3 @ 2.52% ▼ (-0.09)
0-3 @ 2.03% ▼ (-0.09)
1-4 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 31.24%