Championship

Championship | Gameweek 29

Jan 25, 2025 at 12.30pm UK

Carrow Road

Norwich
5 - 1
Swansea

Sargent (44', 63'), Dobbin (76'), Crnac (84'), Marcondes (87')
Schwartau (53'), Marcondes (61')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Cullen (62')
Fulton (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Norwich City

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Leeds 2-0 Norwich
Wednesday, January 22 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Swansea City

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Swansea 1-2 Sheff Utd
Tuesday, January 21 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 44.06%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 31.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 1-2 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.

Result
Norwich City	Draw	Swansea City
44.06% ( 0.7)	24.69% ( 0.04)	31.24% ( -0.74)

Both teams to score 57.36% (

-0.48)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.46% (

-0.49)

45.54% (

0.49)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.13% (

-0.47)

67.87% (

0.47)

Norwich City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.25% (

0.11)

20.75% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.62% (

0.17)

53.38% (

-0.17)

Swansea City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.38% (

-0.71)

27.62% (

0.71)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.84% (

-0.93)

63.16% (

0.93)

Score Analysis

Norwich City 44.06%

Swansea City 31.24%

Draw 24.69%

Norwich City	Draw	Swansea City
2-1 @ 9.12% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 9.01% ( 0.22) 2-0 @ 7.09% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 4.78% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 3.72% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.88% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.46% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.72% Total : 44.06%	1-1 @ 11.59% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.87% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 5.73% ( 0.12) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.69%	1-2 @ 7.46% ( -0.12) 0-1 @ 7.37% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.74% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 3.2% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.89% Total : 31.24%