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Championship | Gameweek 27
Jan 18, 2025 at 12.30pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Swansea logo

Cardiff
3 - 0
Swansea

Robinson (47', 51'), Goutas (67')
Ralls (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Grimes (45+5'), Cullen (81'), Bianchini (88'), Bianchini (88'), Cabango (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 41.17%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 32.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cardiff City would win this match.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawSwansea City
41.17% (-0.509 -0.51)26.16% (-0.032 -0.03)32.66% (0.542 0.54)
Both teams to score 53.02% (0.275 0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.57% (0.274 0.27)51.43% (-0.27200000000001 -0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.76% (0.239 0.24)73.24% (-0.23699999999999 -0.24)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.32% (-0.139 -0.14)24.68% (0.141 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.79% (-0.19600000000001 -0.2)59.2% (0.19600000000001 0.2)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.39% (0.49600000000001 0.5)29.61% (-0.495 -0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.35% (0.598 0.6)65.65% (-0.59599999999999 -0.6)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 41.17%
    Swansea City 32.66%
    Draw 26.16%
Cardiff CityDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 10.22% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-1 @ 8.71% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
2-0 @ 7.15% (-0.137 -0.14)
3-1 @ 4.06% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.34% (-0.078 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.47% (0.01 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.42% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.17% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 41.17%
1-1 @ 12.44% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.31% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.3% (0.044 0.04)
3-3 @ 1% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.16%
0-1 @ 8.89% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.57% (0.094 0.09)
0-2 @ 5.41% (0.089 0.09)
1-3 @ 3.07% (0.079 0.08)
0-3 @ 2.2% (0.065 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.15% (0.047 0.05)
1-4 @ 0.94% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 32.66%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Swansea

Cardiff City
51.4%
Draw
24.3%
Swansea City
24.3%
37
Head to Head
Aug 25, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 3
Swansea
1-1
Cardiff
Cullen (10')
Allen (90+6'), Ng (90+10')
Robinson (79')
Darling (90+10'), Colwill (90+11')
Bulut (91')
Mar 16, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 38
Swansea
2-0
Cardiff
Cullen (34'), Lowe (90+6')
Darling (17'), Allen (21')

Meite (17')
Sep 16, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Cardiff
2-0
Swansea
Tanner (71'), Ramsey (86' pen.)
Tanner (81')

Fulton (57')
Apr 1, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 39
Cardiff
2-3
Swansea
Philogene-Bidace (35'), Kaba (83')
Piroe (3'), Cullen (33'), Cabango (90+9')
Oct 23, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 17
Swansea
2-0
Cardiff
Cooper (38'), Obafemi (67')
rhs 2.0


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