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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 41.17%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 32.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cardiff City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cardiff City | Draw | Swansea City |
| 41.17% ( | 26.16% ( | 32.66% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.02% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.57% ( | 51.43% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.76% ( | 73.24% ( |
| Cardiff City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.32% ( | 24.68% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.79% ( | 59.2% ( |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.39% ( | 29.61% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.35% ( | 65.65% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Cardiff City | Draw | Swansea City |
| 1-0 @ 10.22% ( 2-1 @ 8.71% ( 2-0 @ 7.15% ( 3-1 @ 4.06% ( 3-0 @ 3.34% ( 3-2 @ 2.47% ( 4-1 @ 1.42% ( 4-0 @ 1.17% ( Other @ 2.63% Total : 41.17% | 1-1 @ 12.44% ( 0-0 @ 7.31% ( 2-2 @ 5.3% ( 3-3 @ 1% ( Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.16% | 0-1 @ 8.89% ( 1-2 @ 7.57% ( 0-2 @ 5.41% ( 1-3 @ 3.07% ( 0-3 @ 2.2% ( 2-3 @ 2.15% ( 1-4 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 2.44% Total : 32.66% |