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FA Cup

Leeds logo
FA Cup | Fourth Round
Feb 8, 2025 at 12.15pm UK
Elland Road
Millwall logo

Leeds
0 - 2
Millwall


Guilavogui (39')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Azeez (30', 55')
Tanganga (86'), De Norre (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Leeds United and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leeds United

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Coventry 0-2 Leeds
Wednesday, February 5 at 7.45pm in Championship

Millwall

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Millwall 2-1 QPR
Saturday, February 1 at 3pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 74.44%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Millwall had a probability of 8.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.27%) and 3-0 (11.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.97%), while for a Millwall win it was 0-1 (3.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawMillwall
74.44% (-0.217 -0.22)17.33% (0.136 0.14)8.22% (0.081 0.08)
Both teams to score 37.83% (-0.062000000000005 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.02% (-0.303 -0.3)48.98% (0.303 0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.93% (-0.277 -0.28)71.06% (0.27500000000001 0.28)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.43% (-0.14399999999999 -0.14)11.56% (0.142 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.49% (-0.311 -0.31)36.51% (0.31 0.31)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
42.78% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)57.21% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
10.84%89.16% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 74.43%
    Millwall 8.22%
    Draw 17.33%
Leeds UnitedDrawMillwall
2-0 @ 15.39% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 14.27% (0.1 0.1)
3-0 @ 11.07% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-1 @ 8.6% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.18% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-0 @ 5.97% (-0.063 -0.06)
4-1 @ 3.33% (-0.035 -0.04)
5-0 @ 2.58% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.73% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.44% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-2 @ 0.93% (-0.0099999999999999 -0.01)
6-0 @ 0.93% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 74.43%
1-1 @ 7.97% (0.053 0.05)
0-0 @ 6.62% (0.082 0.08)
2-2 @ 2.4% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 17.33%
0-1 @ 3.69% (0.046 0.05)
1-2 @ 2.23% (0.015 0.02)
0-2 @ 1.03% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 1.27%
Total : 8.22%

How you voted: Leeds vs Millwall

Leeds United
86.6%
Draw
11.0%
Millwall
2.4%
82
Head to Head
Nov 6, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Millwall
1-0
Leeds
Tanganga (40')
Tanganga (57'), Honeyman (64')

Firpo (87')
> Preview
Mar 17, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 38
Leeds
2-0
Millwall
Gnonto (33'), James (79')
Gnonto (18'), Firpo (29'), Gruev (90+2')

Cooper (18'), Flemming (25'), Leonard (53'), Honeyman (60')
> Preview
Sep 17, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 6
Millwall
0-3
Leeds
Piroe (15', 77'), Rutter (81')
> Preview
Jan 28, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Leeds
3-2
Millwall
Bamford (48', 66'), Hernandez (62')
Hernandez (64'), Bamford (94')
Hutchinson (4'), Wallace (23' pen.)
Woods (26')
> Match Report
Oct 5, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 11
Millwall
2-1
Leeds
> Match Report