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Championship | Gameweek 28
Jan 21, 2025 at 8pm UK
The Den
Cardiff City logo

Millwall
2 - 2
Cardiff

Scanlon (2'), De Norre (19')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Willock (45+1'), Salech (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Millwall and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Millwall 0-1 Hull City
Saturday, January 18 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 3-0 Swansea
Saturday, January 18 at 12.30pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 48.54%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 23.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.02%) and 2-1 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.69%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (9.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result
MillwallDrawCardiff City
48.54% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)27.71% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)23.75% (0.028000000000002 0.03)
Both teams to score 43.14% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.58% (0.025000000000006 0.03)61.42% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.69% (0.02 0.02)81.31% (-0.021999999999991 -0.02)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.5% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)25.5% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.66% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)60.34% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.9% (0.042999999999999 0.04)42.09% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.48% (0.036999999999999 0.04)78.52% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 48.53%
    Cardiff City 23.75%
    Draw 27.7%
MillwallDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 14.66% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 10.02% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.67% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-0 @ 4.57% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 3.95% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.71% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.56% (-0.002 -0)
4-1 @ 1.35%
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 48.53%
1-1 @ 12.69% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 10.73% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.75% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 27.7%
0-1 @ 9.29% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 5.49% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.02% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.58% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.08% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.13%
Total : 23.75%

How you voted: Millwall vs Cardiff

Millwall
31.3%
Draw
17.2%
Cardiff City
51.6%
64
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Cardiff
1-0
Millwall
Ng (39')
Chambers (26')

De Norre (64'), Cooper (87'), Leonard (90+1')
Apr 13, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 43
Millwall
3-1
Cardiff
Obafemi (9'), Cooper (45+4'), Watmore (90+3')
Longman (69'), Saville (90+1'), Watmore (90+4')
Meite (24')
Collins (69')
Dec 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 20
Cardiff
1-0
Millwall
Goutas (78')
Meite (62')

Hutchinson (63'), Leonard (78')
Jan 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 28
Cardiff
0-1
Millwall
Bradshaw (26')
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 8
Millwall
2-0
Cardiff
Cresswell (63'), Afobe (90')
Styles (76'), Wallace (88')

Kipre (46'), Romeo (53')
rhs 2.0


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