Championship Gameweek 28
Millwall
Jan 21, 2025 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT The Den
Cardiff
  • Calum Scanlon 2' goal
  • Casper De Norre 19' goal
  • goal Chris Willock 45'+1'
  • goal Yousef Salech 90'+7'

Millwall vs Cardiff City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Millwall

All competitions
Last game
Jan 18, 2025 12.30pm
Millwall 0 - 1 Hull City
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Mihailo Ivanovic

Cardiff City

All competitions
Last game
Jan 18, 2025 12.30pm
Cardiff 3 - 0 Swansea
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Callum Robinson

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 48.54%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 23.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.02%) and 2-1 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.69%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (9.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result

Millwall 48.54% ▼ (-0.03)
Draw 27.71% ▼ (-0.01)
Cardiff City 23.75% ▲ (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.14% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 38.58% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 61.42% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 3.5 18.69% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 81.31% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 4.5 7.59% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 4.5 92.4% ▼ (-0.02)

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5 74.5% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 0.5 25.5% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 39.66% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 60.34% ▼ (-0.01)

Cardiff City Goals

Over 0.5 57.9% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 0.5 42.09% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 1.5 21.48% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 78.52% ▼ (-0.04)

Score analysis

Millwall 48.53%
Draw 27.7%
Cardiff City 23.75%
Millwall
1-0 @ 14.66% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 10.02% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.67% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.57% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.95% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.71% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.56% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.35%
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 48.53%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.69% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 10.73% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 3.75% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 27.7%
Cardiff City
0-1 @ 9.29% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 5.49% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.02% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.58% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.16% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.08% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.13%
Total : 23.75%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 8
Cardiff
Oct 1, 2024 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Cardiff City Stadium
Millwall
  • Calum Chambers 26' yellowcard
  • Perry Ng 39' goal
  • yellowcard Casper De Norre 64'
  • yellowcard Jake Cooper 87'
  • yellowcard Ryan Leonard 90'+1'
Championship Gameweek 43
Millwall
Apr 13, 2024 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT The Den
Cardiff
  • Michael Obafemi 9' goal
  • Jake Cooper 45'+4' goal
  • Ryan Longman 69' yellowcard
  • George Saville 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Duncan Watmore 90'+3' goal
  • Duncan Watmore 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Yakou Meite 24'
  • yellowcard Jamilu Collins 69'
Championship Gameweek 20
Cardiff
Dec 9, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Cardiff City Stadium
Millwall
  • Yakou Meite 62' yellowcard
  • Dimitrios Goutas 78' goal
  • yellowcard Shaun Hutchinson 63'
  • yellowcard Ryan Leonard 78'
Championship Gameweek 28
Cardiff
Jan 21, 2023 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Cardiff City Stadium
Millwall
  • goal Tom Bradshaw 26'
Championship Gameweek 8
Millwall
Sep 3, 2022 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Den
Cardiff
  • Charlie Cresswell 63' goal
  • Callum Styles 76' yellowcard
  • Murray Wallace 88' yellowcard
  • Benik Afobe 90' goal
  • yellowcard Cedric Kipre 46'
  • yellowcard Mahlon Romeo 53'
Championship Gameweek 32
Millwall
Feb 12, 2022 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Cardiff
  • Murray Wallace 53' yellowcard
  • Murray Wallace 73' goal
  • Mason Bennett 82' goal
  • goal Joel Bagan 90'+1'

Form Data

Millwall 0 - 1 Hull City
Millwall 3 - 0 Dag & Red
Sheff Weds 2 - 2 Millwall
Millwall 0 - 1 Oxford Utd
Coventry 0 - 0 Millwall
Norwich 2 - 1 Millwall
Cardiff 3 - 0 Swansea
Cardiff 1 - 1 Watford
Sheff Utd 0 - 1 Cardiff
Middlesbrough 1 - 1 Cardiff
Cardiff 1 - 1 Coventry
Watford 1 - 2 Cardiff