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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 48.54%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 23.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.02%) and 2-1 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.69%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (9.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Millwall | Draw | Cardiff City |
| 48.54% ( | 27.71% ( | 23.75% ( |
| Both teams to score 43.14% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.58% ( | 61.42% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.69% ( | 81.31% ( |
| Millwall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.5% ( | 25.5% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.66% ( | 60.34% ( |
| Cardiff City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.9% ( | 42.09% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.48% ( | 78.52% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Millwall | Draw | Cardiff City |
| 1-0 @ 14.66% ( 2-0 @ 10.02% ( 2-1 @ 8.67% ( 3-0 @ 4.57% ( 3-1 @ 3.95% ( 3-2 @ 1.71% ( 4-0 @ 1.56% ( 4-1 @ 1.35% Other @ 2.04% Total : 48.53% | 1-1 @ 12.69% ( 0-0 @ 10.73% ( 2-2 @ 3.75% ( Other @ 0.53% Total : 27.7% | 0-1 @ 9.29% ( 1-2 @ 5.49% ( 0-2 @ 4.02% ( 1-3 @ 1.58% ( 0-3 @ 1.16% ( 2-3 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 1.13% Total : 23.75% |