MX23RW : Saturday, February 15 06:19:53| >> :120:64983:64983:
Millwall logo
FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 13, 2025 at 7.30pm UK
The Den
Dagenham & Redbridge

Millwall
3 - 0
Dag & Red

Ivanovic (30'), De Norre (70'), Bangura-Williams (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Rees (15')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's FA Cup clash between Millwall and Dagenham & Redbridge, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sheff Weds 2-2 Millwall
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Forest Green 1-1 Dag & Red
Wednesday, January 8 at 7.45pm in National League

We said: Millwall 2-0 Dagenham & Redbridge

Although Dagenham have shown signs of improvement under their caretaker manager Young, we feel the gap between the Championship and the National League will show in this match. The visitors will give it a good go on Monday night, but we think Millwall get their first win under their new boss and book their place in the fourth round. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 55.74%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Dagenham & Redbridge had a probability of 20.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.73%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.48%), while for a Dagenham & Redbridge win it was 0-1 (6.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.

Result
MillwallDrawDagenham & Redbridge
55.74% (-1.045 -1.04) 24.24% (0.364 0.36) 20.03% (0.682 0.68)
Both teams to score 48.04% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.35% (-0.565 -0.56)52.64% (0.566 0.57)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.71% (-0.486 -0.49)74.29% (0.486 0.49)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.23% (-0.604 -0.6)18.77% (0.605 0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.83% (-1.019 -1.02)50.17% (1.02 1.02)
Dagenham & Redbridge Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.14% (0.425 0.43)40.86% (-0.423 -0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.57% (0.377 0.38)77.43% (-0.375 -0.38)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 55.73%
    Dagenham & Redbridge 20.03%
    Draw 24.23%
MillwallDrawDagenham & Redbridge
1-0 @ 12.82% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 10.73% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-1 @ 9.61% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-0 @ 5.98% (-0.218 -0.22)
3-1 @ 5.36% (-0.131 -0.13)
4-0 @ 2.5% (-0.142 -0.14)
3-2 @ 2.4% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.24% (-0.099 -0.1)
4-2 @ 1% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 55.73%
1-1 @ 11.48% (0.17 0.17)
0-0 @ 7.67% (0.17 0.17)
2-2 @ 4.3% (0.029000000000001 0.03)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 24.23%
0-1 @ 6.86% (0.23 0.23)
1-2 @ 5.14% (0.133 0.13)
0-2 @ 3.07% (0.137 0.14)
1-3 @ 1.53% (0.057 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.28% (0.024 0.02)
0-3 @ 0.92% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 1.22%
Total : 20.03%

How you voted: Millwall vs Dag & Red

Millwall
81.7%
Dagenham & Redbridge
18.3%
120
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool24176158233557
2Arsenal24148249222750
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest24145540271347
4Chelsea25127647341343
5Manchester CityMan City24125748351341
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle24125742291341
7Bournemouth24117641281340
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2591063838037
9Aston Villa2410773437-337
10Fulham249963632436
11Brentford2494114242031
12Crystal Palace247982830-230
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd2485112834-629
14Tottenham HotspurSpurs24831348371127
15Everton246992530-527
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham2476112946-1727
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2454153452-1819
18Leicester CityLeicester2445152553-2817
19Ipswich TownIpswich2437142249-2716
20Southampton2423191854-369


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