FA Cup
Jan 13, 2025 7.30pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT The Den
  • Mihailo Ivanovic 30' goal
  • Casper De Norre 70' goal
  • Raees Bangura-Williams 85' goal
  • yellowcard Josh Rees 15'

Millwall vs Dagenham & Redbridge - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Millwall

All competitions

Dagenham & Redbridge

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 55.74%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Dagenham & Redbridge had a probability of 20.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.73%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.48%), while for a Dagenham & Redbridge win it was 0-1 (6.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.

Result

Millwall 55.74% (-1.05)
Draw 24.24% (+0.37)
Dagenham & Redbridge 20.03% (+0.69)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.04% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 47.35% (-0.57)
Under 2.5 52.64% (+0.57)
Over 3.5 25.71% (-0.49)
Under 3.5 74.29% (+0.49)
Over 4.5 11.81% (-0.32)
Under 4.5 88.19% (+0.32)

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5 81.23% (-0.61)
Under 0.5 18.77% (+0.61)
Over 1.5 49.83% (-1.02)
Under 1.5 50.17% (+1.02)

Dagenham & Redbridge Goals

Over 0.5 59.14% (+0.43)
Under 0.5 40.86% (-0.43)
Over 1.5 22.57% (+0.38)
Under 1.5 77.43% (-0.38)

Score analysis

Millwall 55.73%
Draw 24.23%
Dagenham & Redbridge 20.03%
Millwall
1-0 @ 12.82% (+0.05)
2-0 @ 10.73% (-0.17)
2-1 @ 9.61% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 5.98% (-0.22)
3-1 @ 5.36% (-0.14)
4-0 @ 2.5% (-0.15)
3-2 @ 2.4% (-0.03)
4-1 @ 2.24% (-0.10)
4-2 @ 1% (-0.04)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 55.73%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.48% (+0.17)
0-0 @ 7.67% (+0.17)
2-2 @ 4.3% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 24.23%
Dagenham & Redbridge
0-1 @ 6.86% (+0.24)
1-2 @ 5.14% (+0.14)
0-2 @ 3.07% (+0.14)
1-3 @ 1.53% (+0.06)
2-3 @ 1.28% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 20.03%