/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fleelog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fcarlog.png)
-
Brenden Aaronson
6'
-
Manor Solomon
13'
-
Daniel James
50'
-
Joel Piroe
65'
-
Willy Gnonto
67'
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Mateo Fernandez
88'
-
Joel Piroe
90'+5'
-
Andy Rinomhota
44'
-
Callum O'Dowda
63'
Leeds United vs Cardiff City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F01%2Fdaniel-farke.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 75.42%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 8.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.7%) and 3-0 (11.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.7%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (3.37%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.
Result
Leeds United
75.42%
▲
(+0.41)
Draw
16.37%
▼
(-0.17)
Cardiff City
8.22%
▼
(-0.25)
Both Teams to Score:
40.81%
▼
(-0.56)
Goals
Over 2.5
55.15%
▼
(-0.12)
Under 2.5
44.85%
▲
(+0.12)
Over 3.5
32.79%
▼
(-0.12)
Under 3.5
67.21%
▲
(+0.12)
Over 4.5
16.65%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 4.5
83.36%
▲
(+0.08)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5
89.81%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 0.5
10.2%
▼
(-0.08)
Over 1.5
66.53%
▲
(+0.17)
Under 1.5
33.47%
▼
(-0.17)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5
45.44%
▼
(-0.67)
Under 0.5
54.56%
▲
(+0.66)
Over 1.5
12.38%
▼
(-0.41)
Under 1.5
87.62%
▲
(+0.41)
Score analysis
Leeds United
75.41%
Draw
16.37%
Cardiff City
8.22%
Leeds United
2-0
@
14.5%
▲
(+0.17)
1-0 @ 12.7% ▲ (+0.11)
3-0 @ 11.03% ▲ (+0.17)
2-1 @ 8.78% ▼ (-0.08)
3-1 @ 6.69% ▼ (-0.04)
4-0 @ 6.3% ▲ (+0.11)
4-1 @ 3.82% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 2.88% ▲ (+0.06)
3-2 @ 2.03% ▼ (-0.06)
5-1 @ 1.74% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.16% ▼ (-0.03)
6-0 @ 1.1% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 75.41%
1-0 @ 12.7% ▲ (+0.11)
3-0 @ 11.03% ▲ (+0.17)
2-1 @ 8.78% ▼ (-0.08)
3-1 @ 6.69% ▼ (-0.04)
4-0 @ 6.3% ▲ (+0.11)
4-1 @ 3.82% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 2.88% ▲ (+0.06)
3-2 @ 2.03% ▼ (-0.06)
5-1 @ 1.74% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.16% ▼ (-0.03)
6-0 @ 1.1% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 75.41%
Draw
1-1
@
7.7%
▼
(-0.10)
0-0 @ 5.56% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 2.66% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 16.37%
0-0 @ 5.56% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 2.66% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 16.37%
Cardiff City
0-1
@
3.37%
▼
(-0.06)
1-2 @ 2.33% ▼ (-0.08)
0-2 @ 1.02% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 8.22%
1-2 @ 2.33% ▼ (-0.08)
0-2 @ 1.02% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 8.22%
