Championship

Championship | Gameweek 30

Feb 1, 2025 at 3pm UK

Elland Road

Leeds
7 - 0
Cardiff

Aaronson (6'), Solomon (13'), James (50'), Piroe (65' pen., 90+5'), Gnonto (67'), Fernandez (88')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Rinomhota (44'), O'Dowda (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leeds United

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Burnley 0-0 Leeds
Monday, January 27 at 8pm in Championship

Goals
for

Cardiff City

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Cardiff 2-1 Derby
Saturday, January 25 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 75.42%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 8.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.7%) and 3-0 (11.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.7%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (3.37%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Leeds United	Draw	Cardiff City
75.42% ( 0.41)	16.37% ( -0.16)	8.22% ( -0.25)

Both teams to score 40.81% (

-0.56)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.15% (

-0.12)

44.85% (

0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.79% (

-0.11)

67.21% (

0.11)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.81% (

0.07)

10.2% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.53% (

0.17)

33.47% (

-0.17)

Cardiff City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

45.44% (

-0.66)

54.56% (

0.66)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.38% (

-0.4)

87.62% (

0.4)

Score Analysis

Leeds United 75.41%

Cardiff City 8.22%

Draw 16.37%

Leeds United	Draw	Cardiff City
2-0 @ 14.5% ( 0.17) 1-0 @ 12.7% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 11.03% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 8.78% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 6.69% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 6.3% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 3.82% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 2.88% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.03% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 1.74% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.03) 6-0 @ 1.1% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.7% Total : 75.41%	1-1 @ 7.7% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 5.56% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 2.66% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.45% Total : 16.37%	0-1 @ 3.37% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.5% Total : 8.22%