Home > Football > Championship
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 46.11%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 28.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.18%) and 0-2 (8.25%). The likeliest Burnley win was 1-0 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Burnley | Draw | Leeds United |
| 28.14% ( | 25.75% ( | 46.11% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.13% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.44% ( | 51.56% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.64% ( | 73.35% ( |
| Burnley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.12% ( | 32.88% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.54% ( | 69.45% ( |
| Leeds United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.66% ( | 22.34% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.18% ( | 55.82% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Burnley | Draw | Leeds United |
| 1-0 @ 8.17% ( 2-1 @ 6.81% ( 2-0 @ 4.54% ( 3-1 @ 2.53% ( 3-2 @ 1.89% ( 3-0 @ 1.69% ( Other @ 2.52% Total : 28.14% | 1-1 @ 12.24% ( 0-0 @ 7.34% ( 2-2 @ 5.1% ( 3-3 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.74% | 0-1 @ 11% 1-2 @ 9.18% ( 0-2 @ 8.25% ( 1-3 @ 4.59% ( 0-3 @ 4.12% ( 2-3 @ 2.55% ( 1-4 @ 1.72% ( 0-4 @ 1.55% ( 2-4 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 2.2% Total : 46.1% |