Birmingham logo
Blackburn logo
Bristol City
Charlton Athletic
Coventry City
Derby logo
Hull logo
Ipswich logo
Leicester logo
Middlesbrough logo
Millwall logo
Norwich logo
Oxford United
Portsmouth
Preston North End logo
QPR logo
Sheffield United logo
Sheffield Wednesday logo
Southampton logo
Stoke logo
Swansea logo
Watford logo
West Brom logo
Wrexham AFC
Burnley logo
Championship | Gameweek 29
Jan 27, 2025 at 8pm UK
Turf Moor
Leeds logo

Burnley
0 - 0
Leeds

FT

Solomon (31'), James (60'), Bogle (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Burnley and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leeds 2-0 Norwich
Wednesday, January 22 at 7.45pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 46.11%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 28.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.18%) and 0-2 (8.25%). The likeliest Burnley win was 1-0 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
BurnleyDrawLeeds United
28.14% (-0.969 -0.97)25.75% (-0.277 -0.28)46.11% (1.247 1.25)
Both teams to score 52.13% (0.257 0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.44% (0.623 0.62)51.56% (-0.623 -0.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.64% (0.54 0.54)73.35% (-0.539 -0.54)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.12% (-0.404 -0.4)32.88% (0.405 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.54% (-0.453 -0.45)69.45% (0.45299999999999 0.45)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.66% (0.84700000000001 0.85)22.34% (-0.846 -0.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.18% (1.253 1.25)55.82% (-1.252 -1.25)
Score Analysis
    Burnley 28.14%
    Leeds United 46.1%
    Draw 25.74%
BurnleyDrawLeeds United
1-0 @ 8.17% (-0.298 -0.3)
2-1 @ 6.81% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-0 @ 4.54% (-0.219 -0.22)
3-1 @ 2.53% (-0.084 -0.08)
3-2 @ 1.89% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.69% (-0.1 -0.1)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 28.14%
1-1 @ 12.24% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-0 @ 7.34% (-0.184 -0.18)
2-2 @ 5.1% (0.017 0.02)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.74%
0-1 @ 11%
1-2 @ 9.18% (0.131 0.13)
0-2 @ 8.25% (0.207 0.21)
1-3 @ 4.59% (0.177 0.18)
0-3 @ 4.12% (0.203 0.2)
2-3 @ 2.55% (0.071 0.07)
1-4 @ 1.72% (0.107 0.11)
0-4 @ 1.55% (0.113 0.11)
2-4 @ 0.96% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 46.1%

How you voted: Burnley vs Leeds

Burnley
34.6%
Draw
27.8%
Leeds United
37.6%
133
Head to Head
Sep 14, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 5
Leeds
0-1
Burnley

Firpo (34'), Gnonto (52'), Ampadu (60')
Koleosho (18')
Mejbri (38'), Anthony (45'), Worrall (45+2'), Humphreys (66'), (90+8'), Massengo (90+6')
Humphreys (90+8')
Jan 2, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 21
Leeds
3-1
Burnley
Harrison (39'), Dallas (77'), James (90+2')
Roberts (10'), Llorente (53')
Cornet (54')
Tarkowski (28')
Aug 29, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 3
Burnley
1-1
Leeds
Wood (61')
Brownhill (19'), Barnes (28'), Mee (45+1'), Lennon (90')
Bamford (86')
Phillips (38'), Rodrigo (53'), Struijk (81')
May 15, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 36
Burnley
0-4
Leeds

Westwood (65')
Klich (44'), Harrison (60'), Rodrigo (77', 79')
Phillips (63')
Dec 27, 2020 12pm
Gameweek 15
Leeds
1-0
Burnley
Bamford (5' pen.)

Tarkowski (28'), Westwood (79'), Barnes (90')