MX23RW : Saturday, February 8 05:55:06| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 29
Jan 25, 2025 at 12.30pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Millwall logo

Luton
0 - 1
Millwall


Andersen (74'), Walsh (90+8')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ivanovic (61')
Saville (71'), Cooper (74'), Honeyman (88'), Tanganga (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Oxford Utd 3-2 Luton
Tuesday, January 21 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 2-2 Cardiff
Tuesday, January 21 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Luton Town 2-1 Millwall

Both of these sides are still searching for their first league victory under their new managers, although Millwall's wait has been considerably longer. With Luton performing better in their home games this season, we think they can grab a much-needed win this weekend against the Lions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 40.58%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 30.62% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.03%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (10.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.

Result
Luton TownDrawMillwall
40.58% (0.172 0.17) 28.8% (0.057000000000002 0.06) 30.62% (-0.226 -0.23)
Both teams to score 44.6% (-0.224 -0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.23% (-0.242 -0.24)61.77% (0.243 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.43% (-0.178 -0.18)81.56% (0.181 0.18)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.15% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)29.85% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.06% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)65.94% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.57% (-0.302 -0.3)36.42% (0.302 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.79% (-0.306 -0.31)73.21% (0.30699999999999 0.31)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 40.58%
    Millwall 30.62%
    Draw 28.79%
Luton TownDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 13.14% (0.11 0.11)
2-1 @ 8.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 7.95% (0.063 0.06)
3-1 @ 3.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 3.2% (0.023 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.63% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.98% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 0.97% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 40.58%
1-1 @ 13.27%
0-0 @ 10.87% (0.1 0.1)
2-2 @ 4.05% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 28.79%
0-1 @ 10.98% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.7% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-2 @ 5.55% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.26% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.87% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.36% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 30.62%

How you voted: Luton vs Millwall

Luton Town
57.5%
Draw
20.0%
Millwall
22.5%
40
Head to Head
Sep 14, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 5
Millwall
0-1
Luton

De Norre (22'), Hutchinson (90+5')
Mengi (10')
Mengi (41'), Kaminski (85'), Doughty (89')
Apr 7, 2023 12.30pm
Feb 28, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 23
Luton
2-2
Millwall
Adebayo (58'), Berry (87')
Flemming (4'), Bradshaw (52')
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 40
Luton
2-2
Millwall
Adebayo (33'), Cooper (87' og.)
Bradshaw (25'), Afobe (81')
Oct 16, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 12
Millwall
0-2
Luton

Cooper (69')
Cornick (11', 53')
Clark (72'), Naismith (83'), Bree (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds31199362194366
2Burnley31161323792861
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd30196541212061
4Sunderland301610445261958
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn31136123531445
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom301014639271244
7Middlesbrough301281049391044
8Norwich CityNorwich30119104942742
9Bristol City30101283835342
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds30119104346-342
11Coventry CityCoventry31118124140141
12Watford30125134042-241
13Queens Park RangersQPR311011103540-541
14Millwall301010103027340
15Preston North EndPreston3081393338-537
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd31910123445-1137
17Swansea CitySwansea3097143242-1034
18Stoke CityStoke30711122837-932
19Cardiff CityCardiff30710133351-1831
20Portsmouth3079143652-1630
21Hull City3078153140-929
22Derby CountyDerby3076173241-927
23Luton TownLuton3076173049-1927
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth30510152963-3425


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