FA Cup
Jan 11, 2025 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT The City Ground
  • Ryan Yates 40' goal
  • Ramon Sosa 68' goal

Nottingham Forest vs Luton Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Nottingham Forest

All competitions

Luton Town

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 44.1%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 30.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Nottingham Forest in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Nottingham Forest.

Result

Nottingham Forest 44.1% (-0.06)
Draw 25.51% (-0.01)
Luton Town 30.39% (+0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.2% (+0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.51% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 49.48% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 28.48% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 71.52% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 13.63% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 86.36% (-0.04)

Nottingham Forest Goals

Over 0.5 77.61% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 22.39% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 44.11% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 55.89% (+0.01)

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5 69.83% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 30.17% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 33.68% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 66.32% (-0.09)

Score analysis

Nottingham Forest 44.09%
Draw 25.51%
Luton Town 30.39%
Nottingham Forest
1-0 @ 10.1% (-0.04)
2-1 @ 9.07% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.57% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.52% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.77% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.71% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.69% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.41% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.01% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 44.09%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.11%
0-0 @ 6.75% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.43% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.08% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.51%
Luton Town
0-1 @ 8.09% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 7.26% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 4.85% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.9% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.17% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.94% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 30.39%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 29
Mar 16, 2024 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Kenilworth Road Stadium
  • Issa Kabore 30' yellowcard
  • Luke Berry 89' goal
  • goal Chris Wood 34'
  • yellowcard Harry Toffolo 84'
  • yellowcard Matz Sels 90'
Premier League Gameweek 9
Oct 21, 2023 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT The City Ground
  • Chris Wood 48' goal
  • Ibrahim Sangare 60' yellowcard
  • Chris Wood 76' goal
  • Morgan Gibbs-White 82' yellowcard
  • Murillo 90'+8' yellowcard
  • goal Chiedozie Ogbene 83'
  • goal Elijah Adebayo 90'+2'
Championship Gameweek 42
Apr 15, 2022 12.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Sonny Bradley 26' yellowcard
  • Kal Naismith 37' goal
  • Kal Naismith 49' yellowcard
  • Fred Onyedinma 56' yellowcard
  • Reece Burke 63' yellowcard
  • Allan Campbell 63' yellowcard
  • James Shea 69' yellowcard
  • Sonny Bradley 77' redcard
  • Elijah Adebayo 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard James Garner 44'
  • yellowcard Keinan Davis 63'
  • yellowcard Joe Worrall 74'
  • yellowcard Tobias Figueiredo 90'+6'
Championship Gameweek 19
Nov 23, 2021 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Lyle Taylor 26' yellowcard
  • Jack Colback 47' yellowcard
  • Scott McKenna 55' yellowcard
  • Jack Colback 61' redcard
  • yellowcard Tom Lockyer 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Pelly Ruddock 68'
  • yellowcard Sonny Bradley 90'+3'
Championship Gameweek 34
Mar 2, 2021 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT The City Ground
  • yellowcard Kal Naismith 61'
  • goal Ryan Tunnicliffe 64'
Championship Gameweek 8
Oct 28, 2020 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Kenilworth Road Stadium
  • Glen Rea 22' goal
  • Pelly Ruddock 55' yellowcard
  • Martin Cranie 71' yellowcard
  • Glen Rea 73' yellowcard
  • redcard Nicholas Ioannou 44'
  • goal Glen Rea 64' (OG)