FA Cup

FA Cup | Third Round

Jan 11, 2025 at 3pm UK

The City Ground

Nott'm Forest
2 - 0
Luton

Yates (40'), Sosa (68')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Nottingham Forest and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nottingham Forest

All competitions

Last Game: Wolves 0-3 Nott'm Forest
Monday, January 6 at 8pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Luton Town

All competitions

Last Game: QPR 2-1 Luton
Monday, January 6 at 8pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 44.1%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 30.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Nottingham Forest in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Nottingham Forest.

Result
Nottingham Forest	Draw	Luton Town
44.1% ( -0.06)	25.51% ( -0.01)	30.39% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 54.2% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.51% (

0.05)

49.48% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.48% (

0.05)

71.52% (

-0.05)

Nottingham Forest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.61% (

-0)

22.39% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.11% (

-0.01)

55.89% (

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.83% (

0.07)

30.17% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.68% (

0.08)

66.32% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Nottingham Forest 44.09%

Luton Town 30.39%

Draw 25.51%

Nottingham Forest	Draw	Luton Town
1-0 @ 10.1% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.07% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.57% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.52% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.77% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.71% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.69% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.41% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 2.23% Total : 44.09%	1-1 @ 12.11% 0-0 @ 6.75% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.43% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.51%	0-1 @ 8.09% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.26% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.85% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.9% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.18% Total : 30.39%