Championship Gameweek 28
Oxford Utd
Jan 21, 2025 7.45pm
3
2
HT : 1 2
FT The Kassam Stadium
Luton
  • Matt Phillips 10' yellowcard
  • Michal Helik 23' goal
  • Ciaron Brown 59' goal
  • Gregory Leigh 69' goal
  • Cameron Brannagan 83' yellowcard
  • Sam Long 85' yellowcard
  • goal Tom Krauss 11'
  • yellowcard Zack Nelson 24'
  • goal Mark McGuinness 26'
  • yellowcard Tom Krauss 38'
  • yellowcard Isaiah Jones 50'

Oxford United vs Luton Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford United

All competitions
Last game
Jan 18, 2025 3.00pm
Oxford Utd 1 - 0 Blackburn
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Gregory Leigh

Luton Town

All competitions
Last game
Jan 18, 2025 3.00pm
Luton 0 - 0 Preston
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Carlton Morris

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 39.07%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 33.66% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (10.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result

Oxford United 39.07% ▲ (+0.28)
Draw 27.27% ▼ (-0.05)
Luton Town 33.66% ▼ (-0.23)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.81% ▲ (+0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5 44.36% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 2.5 55.64% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 3.5 23.21% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 3.5 76.8% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 4.5 10.24% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 4.5 89.76% ▼ (-0.08)

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5 72.25% ▲ (+0.24)
Under 0.5 27.75% ▼ (-0.23)
Over 1.5 36.68% ▲ (+0.30)
Under 1.5 63.32% ▼ (-0.29)

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5 68.94% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 0.5 31.06% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 1.5 32.62% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 1.5 67.38% ▲ (+0.09)

Score analysis

Oxford United 39.06%
Draw 27.26%
Luton Town 33.65%
Oxford United
1-0 @ 11.04%
2-1 @ 8.28% ▲ (+0.05)
2-0 @ 7.08% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 3.54% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 3.03% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.07% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 1.13% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 39.06%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.91% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 8.62% ▼ (-0.05)
2-2 @ 4.84% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 27.26%
Luton Town
0-1 @ 10.07% ▼ (-0.09)
1-2 @ 7.55% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 5.89% ▼ (-0.06)
1-3 @ 2.94% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.3% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.89% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 33.65%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 8
Luton
Oct 1, 2024 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT Kenilworth Road Stadium
Oxford Utd
  • Jordan Clark 10' goal
  • Tom Krauss 37' goal
  • Alfie Doughty 56' yellowcard
  • Liam Walsh 77' redcard
  • Pelly Ruddock 90'+6' yellowcard
  • Reece Burke 90'+7' yellowcard
  • goal Tyler Goodrham 45'
  • yellowcard Peter Kioso 48'
  • goal Ruben Rodrigues 54'
  • yellowcard Idris El Mizouni 68'
  • yellowcard Elliott Moore 89'
League One Gameweek 46
Luton
May 4, 2019 5.30pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Kenilworth Road Stadium (Luton, Bedfordshire)
Oxford Utd
  • George Moncur 3' goal
  • Elliot Lee 53' goal
  • George Moncur 73' goal
  • Matty Pearson 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Cameron Brannagan 45'
  • goal Luke Garbutt 60'
  • yellowcard Jamie Hanson 63'
  • yellowcard Marcus Browne 80'
League One Gameweek 11
Oxford Utd
Oct 2, 2018 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT The Kassam Stadium (Oxford, Oxfordshire)
Luton
  • Shandon Baptiste 28' yellowcard
  • Ricky Holmes 48' goal
  • Shandon Baptiste 73' redcard
  • Jamie Hanson 76' yellowcard
  • Tony McMahon 90' yellowcard
  • Cameron Brannagan 90' yellowcard
  • goal James Collins 55'
  • yellowcard Jack Stacey 66'
  • yellowcard Elliot Lee 76'
  • yellowcard Glen Rea 82'
  • goal Daniel Potts 90'
Luton
Mar 1, 2017 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 0 1
FT
Oxford Utd
  • Glen Rea 22' yellowcard
  • Isaac Vassell 72' goal
  • Danny Hylton 82' goal
  • Johnny Mullins 90' yellowcard
  • goal Phil Edwards 10'
  • yellowcard Philip Edwards 34'
  • goal Pelly Ruddock 70' (OG)
  • goal Marvin Johnson 85'
League Two
Oxford Utd
Apr 16, 2016 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 2
FT
Luton
  • Danny Hylton 2' goal
  • Danny Hylton 32' yellowcard
  • Cheyenne Dunkley 51' goal
  • Jonjoe Kenny 75' yellowcard
  • goal Joe Pigott 44'
  • goal Olly Lee 45'
  • goal Joe Pigott 58'
League Two
Luton
Aug 15, 2015 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT
Oxford Utd
  • Luke Wilkinson 42' goal
  • Cameron McGeehan 69' goal
  • yellowcard Alexander MacDonald 34'
  • goal Kemar Roofe 82'
  • goal Pat Hoban 93'

Form Data

Oxford Utd 1 - 0 Blackburn
Plymouth 1 - 1 Oxford Utd
Exeter 3 - 1 Oxford Utd
Preston 1 - 1 Oxford Utd
Millwall 0 - 1 Oxford Utd
Oxford Utd 2 - 0 Plymouth
Luton 0 - 0 Preston
Nott'm Forest 2 - 0 Luton
QPR 2 - 1 Luton
Luton 0 - 1 Norwich
Swansea 2 - 1 Luton
Bristol City 1 - 0 Luton