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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 37.09%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 35.55% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.02%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-0 (10.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Oxford United | Draw | Blackburn Rovers |
| 35.55% ( | 27.36% ( | 37.09% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.75% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.18% ( | 55.82% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.06% ( | 76.94% ( |
| Oxford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.07% ( | 29.94% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.96% ( | 66.04% ( |
| Blackburn Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.01% ( | 28.99% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.11% ( | 64.88% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Oxford United | Draw | Blackburn Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 10.46% ( 2-1 @ 7.82% ( 2-0 @ 6.31% ( 3-1 @ 3.14% ( 3-0 @ 2.54% ( 3-2 @ 1.95% ( 4-1 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 2.38% Total : 35.54% | 1-1 @ 12.96% ( 0-0 @ 8.68% ( 2-2 @ 4.84% ( Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.36% | 0-1 @ 10.74% ( 1-2 @ 8.02% ( 0-2 @ 6.65% ( 1-3 @ 3.31% ( 0-3 @ 2.75% ( 2-3 @ 2% ( 1-4 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 2.59% Total : 37.09% |