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Oxford United
Championship | Gameweek 27
Jan 18, 2025 at 3pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Blackburn logo

Oxford Utd
1 - 0
Blackburn

Brannagan (67')
Helik (21')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gueye (33'), Cantwell (53'), Brittain (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Oxford United and Blackburn Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Plymouth 1-1 Oxford Utd
Tuesday, January 14 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 3-0 Portsmouth
Wednesday, January 15 at 7.45pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 37.09%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 35.55% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.02%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-0 (10.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawBlackburn Rovers
35.55% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)27.36% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)37.09% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Both teams to score 49.75% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.18% (0.11 0.11)55.82% (-0.108 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.06% (0.09 0.09)76.94% (-0.088000000000008 -0.09)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.07% (0.024999999999991 0.02)29.94% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.96% (0.030000000000001 0.03)66.04% (-0.027999999999992 -0.03)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.01% (0.102 0.1)28.99% (-0.099999999999998 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.11% (0.124 0.12)64.88% (-0.123 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 35.54%
    Blackburn Rovers 37.09%
    Draw 27.36%
Oxford UnitedDrawBlackburn Rovers
1-0 @ 10.46% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 7.82% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 6.31% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.14% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 2.54% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.95% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 35.54%
1-1 @ 12.96% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.68% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.84% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 27.36%
0-1 @ 10.74% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.02% (0.016 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.65% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.31% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.75% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 2% (0.01 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.03% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 37.09%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Blackburn

Oxford United
25.0%
Draw
30.0%
Blackburn Rovers
45.0%
40
Head to Head
Aug 24, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 3
Blackburn
2-1
Oxford Utd
Rankin-Costello (45+2'), Sigurdsson (83')
Tronstad (37'), Travis (77')
Harris (44')
Kioso (57')
May 5, 2018 5.30pm
Nov 21, 2017 7.45pm
Oxford Utd
2-4
Blackburn
Payne (45'), Obika (85')
Mulgrew (6', 22'), Antonsson (17'), Nuttall (71')
Mulgrew (74'), Downing (82')
Jan 30, 2016 3pm
Fourth Round
Oxford Utd
0-3
Blackburn

Mullins (5'), Baldock (64'), Kenny (92')
Marshall (36' pen., 76'), Watt (45')
Spurr (39'), Jackson (50'), Lenihan (54'), Conway (79')