Championship

Championship | Gameweek 17

Jan 28, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Fratton Park

Portsmouth
0 - 1
Millwall

FT(HT: 0-1)

Ivanovic (40')
Bangura-Williams (53'), Connolly (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Portsmouth and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portsmouth

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: West Brom 5-1 Portsmouth
Saturday, January 25 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Millwall

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Luton 0-1 Millwall
Saturday, January 25 at 12.30pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 38.77%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 32.73% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.94%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 1-0 (11.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Millwall in this match.

Result
Portsmouth	Draw	Millwall
32.73% ( 0.02)	28.5% ( -0)	38.77% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 46% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.68% (

0.02)

60.32% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.52% (

0.01)

80.48% (

-0.01)

Portsmouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.89% (

0.03)

34.11% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.2% (

0.03)

70.79% (

-0.03)

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.8% (

-0)

30.19%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.64% (

-0)

66.35%

Score Analysis

Portsmouth 32.72%

Millwall 38.77%

Draw 28.49%

Portsmouth	Draw	Millwall
1-0 @ 11.07% 2-1 @ 7.14% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.96% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.56% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.14% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.53% ( 0) Other @ 2.33% Total : 32.72%	1-1 @ 13.26% 0-0 @ 10.29% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.27% ( 0) Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.49%	0-1 @ 12.33% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.94% 0-2 @ 7.38% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.17% 0-3 @ 2.95% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.71% ( 0) 1-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.34% Total : 38.77%