Championship

Championship | Gameweek 28

Jan 22, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Fratton Park

Portsmouth
3 - 1
Stoke

Bishop (5' pen.), Lang (9'), Ogilvie (49')
Pack (13'), Atkinson (31')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Wilmot (27')
Seko (33'), Baker (56'), Lowe (79'), Johansson (90+2'), Burger (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Portsmouth and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portsmouth

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Portsmouth 2-1 Middlesbrough
Saturday, January 18 at 3.35pm in Championship

Goals
for

Stoke City

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: West Brom 1-1 Stoke
Saturday, January 18 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 37.84%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 36.15% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.

Result
Portsmouth	Draw	Stoke City
37.84% ( 0.93)	26.01% ( 0.03)	36.15% ( -0.95)

Both teams to score 54.18% (

-0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.77% (

-0.15)

50.22% (

0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.81% (

-0.14)

72.18% (

0.13)

Portsmouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.09% (

0.45)

25.91% (

-0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.1% (

0.6)

60.9% (

-0.6)

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.13% (

-0.62)

26.87% (

0.62)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.82% (

-0.82)

62.18% (

0.82)

Score Analysis

Portsmouth 37.84%

Stoke City 36.15%

Draw 26%

Portsmouth	Draw	Stoke City
1-0 @ 9.4% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 8.34% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 6.35% ( 0.2) 3-1 @ 3.76% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 2.86% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 2.47% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.27% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.43% Total : 37.84%	1-1 @ 12.35% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.96% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.48% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 26%	0-1 @ 9.15% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 8.12% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 6.01% ( -0.18) 1-3 @ 3.56% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 2.63% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.11% Total : 36.15%