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Championship | Gameweek 27
Jan 18, 2025 at 3pm UK
The Hawthorns
Stoke logo

West Brom
1 - 1
Stoke

Diangana (71')
Styles (66'), Mowatt (85')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lowe (9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between West Bromwich Albion and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sunderland 1-2 Stoke
Saturday, January 11 at 3pm in FA Cup

We said: West Bromwich Albion 1-1 Stoke City

Stoke City have shown encouraging signs in their first outings under Mark Robins, and we back them to pick up a creditable result against a West Bromwich Albion side who are yet to return to the form they showed under Carlos Corberan. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 52.05%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Stoke City had a probability of 22.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.27%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for a Stoke City win it was 0-1 (7.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
West Bromwich AlbionDrawStoke City
52.05% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03) 25.74% (0.02 0.02) 22.21% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Both teams to score 46.69% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.04% (-0.073 -0.07)55.95% (0.068999999999996 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.94% (-0.058 -0.06)77.05% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.44% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)21.55% (0.038999999999998 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.37% (-0.061 -0.06)54.62% (0.058 0.06)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.51% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)40.48% (0.035999999999994 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.91% (-0.034000000000002 -0.03)77.09% (0.030999999999992 0.03)
Score Analysis
    West Bromwich Albion 52.04%
    Stoke City 22.21%
    Draw 25.73%
West Bromwich AlbionDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 13.38% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 10.27%
2-1 @ 9.29% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.26% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 4.75% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.15% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.02% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.82% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 52.04%
1-1 @ 12.1%
0-0 @ 8.72% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.2% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 25.73%
0-1 @ 7.89% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.48% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 3.57% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-3 @ 1.65% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.27% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.08% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.28%
Total : 22.21%

How you voted: West Brom vs Stoke

West Bromwich Albion
52.4%
Draw
31.0%
Stoke City
16.7%
42
Head to Head
Aug 24, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 3
Stoke
1-2
West Brom
Koumas (29')
Laurent (41'), Koumas (90')
Grant (18'), Maja (31')
Molumby (45+2'), Palmer (67'), Furlong (90+3')
Apr 6, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 41
Stoke
2-2
West Brom
Manhoef (68'), Vidigal (78')
Thompson (89'), Burger (90')
Johnston (24'), Wallace (57')
Diangana (26'), M'Vila (77')
Dec 17, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 22
West Brom
1-1
Stoke
Thomas-Asante (35')
Yokuslu (44'), Bartley (45+2'), Fellows (83')
Gooch (12')
Burger (61')
Aug 8, 2023 7.45pm
First Round
Stoke
2-1
West Brom
Griffiths (27' og.), Vidigal (65')
McNally (5'), Sidibe (45'), Travers (76')
Thomas-Asante (64')
Pieters (31'), Bartley (66'), Gardner-Hickman (68'), Griffiths (86')
Apr 15, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 42
Stoke
1-2
West Brom
Brown (30')
Molumby (59', 69')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds32209366194769
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd32216546232367
3Burnley32171323993064
4Sunderland321711449282162
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn32146123731648
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom321114741301147
7Bristol City32111294036445
8Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds32129114548-345
9Middlesbrough31128115042844
10Coventry CityCoventry32128124240244
11Queens Park RangersQPR331111113941-244
12Norwich CityNorwich321110115044643
13Watford32126144248-642
14Millwall311010113132-140
15Preston North EndPreston3191393438-440
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd32911123445-1138
17Swansea CitySwansea32107153343-1037
18Portsmouth3289153955-1633
19Stoke CityStoke31711132839-1132
20Cardiff CityCardiff31710143453-1931
21Hull City3178163142-1129
22Derby CountyDerby3378183346-1329
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth31610153464-3028
24Luton TownLuton3176183051-2127


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