Championship Gameweek 36
Mar 8, 2025 12.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Vicarage Road
  • Matthew Pollock 30' goal
  • yellowcard Luke Cundle 50'
  • goal Casper De Norre 59'
  • goal Josh Coburn 81'

Watford vs Millwall - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Watford

All competitions
Last game
Mar 1, 2025 3.00pm
Stoke 0 - 0 Watford
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Vakoun Issouf Bayo

Millwall

All competitions
Last game
Mar 4, 2025 7.45pm
Millwall 0 - 2 Bristol City
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Mihailo Ivanovic

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 40.7%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 31.14% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (10.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result

Watford 40.7% (-0.11)
Draw 28.16% (+0.03)
Millwall 31.14% (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.51% (-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5 40.53% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 59.47% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 20.17% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 79.83% (+0.05)
Over 4.5 8.43% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 91.56% (+0.03)

Watford Goals

Over 0.5 71.33% (-0.09)
Under 0.5 28.66% (+0.09)
Over 1.5 35.52% (-0.12)
Under 1.5 64.48% (+0.11)

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5 65.2% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 34.79% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 28.47% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 71.53% (-0.03)

Score analysis

Watford 40.69%
Draw 28.15%
Millwall 31.13%
Watford
1-0 @ 12.46%
2-1 @ 8.22% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 7.79% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 3.42% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.24% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.81% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.07% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.01% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 40.69%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.15% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 9.97% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.34% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 28.15%
Millwall
0-1 @ 10.52% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 6.94% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.56% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.44% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.96% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.53% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 31.13%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 1
Aug 10, 2024 12.30pm
2
3
HT : 0 1
FT The Den
  • Ryan Leonard 55' yellowcard
  • Duncan Watmore 74' goal
  • Edo Kayembe 86' yellowcard
  • Duncan Watmore 88' goal
  • yellowcard Francisco Sierralta 7'
  • goal Edo Kayembe 22'
  • goal Giorgi Chakvetadze 55'
  • yellowcard Joe Bryan 87'
  • goal Mileta Rajovic 90'
  • yellowcard Mileta Rajovic 90'+1'
Championship Gameweek 35
Mar 2, 2024 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT The Den
  • Zian Flemming 3' goal
  • Danny McNamara 45' yellowcard
  • Ryan Leonard 75' yellowcard
  • Zian Flemming 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Edo Kayembe 1'
Championship Gameweek 14
Oct 28, 2023 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Vicarage Road
  • Yaser Asprilla 7' goal
  • Jake Livermore 37' yellowcard
  • Yaser Asprilla 50' yellowcard
  • Ken Sema 79' yellowcard
  • Mileta Rajovic 90'+2' goal
  • goal Zian Flemming 12'
  • yellowcard Zian Flemming 27'
  • yellowcard George Saville 38'
  • goal Wes Harding 85'
  • yellowcard Brooke Norton-Cuffy 90'+3'
Championship Gameweek 24
Dec 26, 2022 12.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Vicarage Road
  • goal Andreas Voglsammer 22'
  • goal Zian Flemming 83'
Championship Gameweek 16
Oct 19, 2022 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 3 0
FT The Den
  • Tom Bradshaw 8' goal
  • Tom Bradshaw 26' goal
  • Tom Bradshaw 33' goal
Club Friendlies 1
Jul 19, 2022 7.45pm