Championship

Championship | Gameweek 33

Feb 15, 2025 at 3pm UK

Riverside Stadium

Middlesbrough
0 - 1
Watford

Ayling (47'), Forss (83')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Sissoko (40')
Chakvetadze (65'), Selvik (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Middlesbrough

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Sheff Utd 3-1 Middlesbrough
Wednesday, February 12 at 8pm in Championship

Goals
for

Watford

All competitions

Last Game: Watford 0-4 Leeds
Tuesday, February 11 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 56.56%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Watford had a probability of 20.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 2-0 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a Watford win it was 0-1 (5.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Middlesbrough	Draw	Watford
56.56% ( -0.55)	22.46% ( 0.15)	20.97% ( 0.41)

Both teams to score 54.96% (

0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.84% (

-0.11)

44.15% (

0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.46% (

-0.1)

66.53% (

0.11)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.59% (

-0.22)

15.41% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.76% (

-0.41)

44.23% (

0.41)

Watford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.97% (

0.34)

35.03% (

-0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.23% (

0.35)

71.77% (

-0.35)

Score Analysis

Middlesbrough 56.56%

Watford 20.97%

Draw 22.46%

Middlesbrough	Draw	Watford
1-0 @ 10.09% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.9% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.44% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 6.17% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 5.88% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 3.24% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.89% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 2.75% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.57% Total : 56.56%	1-1 @ 10.59% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 5.4% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.19% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.46%	0-1 @ 5.66% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 5.56% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 2.97% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.98% Total : 20.97%