/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fwat.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Flutlog.png)
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Jeremy Ngakia
5'
-
Tom Dele-Bashiru
11'
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Edo Kayembe
23'
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Matthew Pollock
58'
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Mads Andersen
42'
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Carlton Morris
73'
Watford vs Luton Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 44.43%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 28.79% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Watford would win this match.
Result
Watford
44.43%
▲
(+1.32)
Draw
26.78%
▼
(-0.43)
Luton Town
28.79%
▼
(-0.88)
Both Teams to Score:
49.4%
▲
(+0.79)
Goals
Over 2.5
44.71%
▲
(+1.23)
Under 2.5
55.29%
▼
(-1.22)
Over 3.5
23.49%
▲
(+1.00)
Under 3.5
76.51%
▼
(-1.00)
Over 4.5
10.42%
▲
(+0.62)
Under 4.5
89.59%
▼
(-0.61)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5
75.25%
▲
(+1.22)
Under 0.5
24.75%
▼
(-1.21)
Over 1.5
40.69%
▲
(+1.67)
Under 1.5
59.32%
▼
(-1.66)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5
65.65%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 0.5
34.36%
▲
(+0.03)
Over 1.5
28.94%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 1.5
71.06%
▲
(+0.04)
Score analysis
Watford
44.43%
Draw
26.78%
Luton Town
28.79%
Watford
1-0
@
11.87%
▼
(-0.15)
2-1 @ 8.86% ▲ (+0.20)
2-0 @ 8.29% ▲ (+0.19)
3-1 @ 4.12% ▲ (+0.23)
3-0 @ 3.86% ▲ (+0.22)
3-2 @ 2.2% ▲ (+0.13)
4-1 @ 1.44% ▲ (+0.13)
4-0 @ 1.35% ▲ (+0.12)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 44.43%
2-1 @ 8.86% ▲ (+0.20)
2-0 @ 8.29% ▲ (+0.19)
3-1 @ 4.12% ▲ (+0.23)
3-0 @ 3.86% ▲ (+0.22)
3-2 @ 2.2% ▲ (+0.13)
4-1 @ 1.44% ▲ (+0.13)
4-0 @ 1.35% ▲ (+0.12)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 44.43%
Draw
1-1
@
12.68%
▼
(-0.17)
0-0 @ 8.5% ▼ (-0.41)
2-2 @ 4.73% ▲ (+0.10)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 26.78%
0-0 @ 8.5% ▼ (-0.41)
2-2 @ 4.73% ▲ (+0.10)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 26.78%
Luton Town
0-1
@
9.09%
▼
(-0.45)
1-2 @ 6.78% ▼ (-0.10)
0-2 @ 4.85% ▼ (-0.25)
1-3 @ 2.41% ▼ (-0.04)
0-3 @ 1.73% ▼ (-0.09)
2-3 @ 1.69% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 28.79%
1-2 @ 6.78% ▼ (-0.10)
0-2 @ 4.85% ▼ (-0.25)
1-3 @ 2.41% ▼ (-0.04)
0-3 @ 1.73% ▼ (-0.09)
2-3 @ 1.69% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 28.79%
Kiko Femenia
88'