Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield United win with a probability of 40.32%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 32.02% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (7.52%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 1-0 (10.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sheffield United in this match.