Championship

Championship | Gameweek 32

Feb 12, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Stadium of Light

Sunderland
2 - 0
Luton

Le Fee (13'), Isidor (58')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Fanne (54'), Johnson (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Sunderland and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sunderland

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Sunderland 2-2 Watford
Saturday, February 8 at 12.30pm in Championship

Goals
for

Luton Town

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Sheff Weds 1-1 Luton
Saturday, February 1 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 58.53%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 18.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.08%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for a Luton Town win it was 0-1 (6.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.

Result
Sunderland	Draw	Luton Town
58.53% ( 0.35)	23.13% ( -0.22)	18.34% ( -0.13)

Both teams to score 48.55% (

0.42)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.46% (

0.68)

50.54% (

-0.68)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.54% (

0.6)

72.46% (

-0.6)

Sunderland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.03% (

0.37)

16.97% (

-0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.92% (

0.65)

47.08% (

-0.64)

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.47% (

0.25)

41.53% (

-0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.98% (

0.22)

78.03% (

-0.22)

Score Analysis

Sunderland 58.52%

Luton Town 18.34%

Draw 23.13%

Sunderland	Draw	Luton Town
1-0 @ 12.5% ( -0.19) 2-0 @ 11.08% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 6.55% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 5.76% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 2.91% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 2.55% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.53% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 0.91% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.84% Total : 58.52%	1-1 @ 10.98% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 7.05% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 4.28% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.82% Total : 23.13%	0-1 @ 6.19% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 4.83% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.93% Total : 18.34%