Championship

Championship | Gameweek 30

Feb 1, 2025 at 3pm UK

Pride Park Stadium

Derby
0 - 1
Sheff Utd

Harness (70')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Brereton Diaz (49')
Souza (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Derby County and Sheffield United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Cardiff 2-1 Derby
Saturday, January 25 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Sheffield United

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Sheff Utd 0-3 Hull City
Friday, January 24 at 8pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield United win with a probability of 39.01%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 33.83% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Derby County win was 1-0 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sheffield United in this match.

Result
Derby County	Draw	Sheffield United
33.83% ( 0.44)	27.16% ( 0.18)	39.01% ( -0.63)

Both teams to score 50.18% (

-0.48)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.81% (

-0.65)

55.19% (

0.65)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.57% (

-0.54)

76.43% (

0.54)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.28% (

-0.04)

30.72% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.02% (

-0.05)

66.98% (

0.04)

Sheffield United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.43% (

-0.66)

27.57% (

0.66)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.9% (

-0.86)

63.1% (

0.85)

Score Analysis

Derby County 33.83%

Sheffield United 39.01%

Draw 27.16%

Derby County	Draw	Sheffield United
1-0 @ 10% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 7.6% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 5.9% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 2.99% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.32% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.1% Total : 33.83%	1-1 @ 12.88% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 8.47% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.16%	0-1 @ 10.91% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 8.3% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 7.03% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 3.56% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 3.02% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.97% Total : 39.01%