Championship Gameweek 30
Feb 1, 2025 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Pride Park Stadium
  • Marcus Harness 70' yellowcard
  • goal Ben Brereton Diaz 49'
  • yellowcard Vinicius Souza 70'

Derby County vs Sheffield United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County

All competitions
Last game
Jan 25, 2025 3.00pm
Cardiff 2 - 1 Derby
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Jerry Yates

Sheffield United

All competitions
Last game
Jan 24, 2025 8.00pm
Sheff Utd 0 - 3 Hull City
Goals scored
70
Top scorer
Tyrese Campbell

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield United win with a probability of 39.01%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 33.83% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Derby County win was 1-0 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sheffield United in this match.

Result

Derby County 33.83% (+0.44)
Draw 27.16% (+0.19)
Sheffield United 39.01% (-0.63)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.18% (-0.49)

Goals

Over 2.5 44.81% (-0.66)
Under 2.5 55.19% (+0.66)
Over 3.5 23.57% (-0.54)
Under 3.5 76.43% (+0.54)
Over 4.5 10.47% (-0.34)
Under 4.5 89.53% (+0.34)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5 69.28% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 30.72% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 33.02% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 66.98% (+0.05)

Sheffield United Goals

Over 0.5 72.43% (-0.66)
Under 0.5 27.57% (+0.66)
Over 1.5 36.9% (-0.86)
Under 1.5 63.1% (+0.86)

Score analysis

Derby County 33.83%
Draw 27.16%
Sheffield United 39.01%
Derby County
1-0 @ 10% (+0.24)
2-1 @ 7.6% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 5.9% (+0.14)
3-1 @ 2.99% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.32% (+0.06)
3-2 @ 1.93% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 33.83%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.88% (+0.09)
0-0 @ 8.47% (+0.22)
2-2 @ 4.9% (-0.07)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 27.16%
Sheffield United
0-1 @ 10.91% (+0.09)
1-2 @ 8.3% (-0.11)
0-2 @ 7.03% (-0.09)
1-3 @ 3.56% (-0.12)
0-3 @ 3.02% (-0.10)
2-3 @ 2.1% (-0.07)
1-4 @ 1.15% (-0.06)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 39.01%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 6
Sep 21, 2024 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Bramall Lane
  • Vinicius Souza 38' yellowcard
  • Gustavo Hamer 53' goal
  • Anel Ahmedhodzic 56' yellowcard
  • Kieffer Moore 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Paul Warne 0'
  • yellowcard Eiran Cashin 50'
  • yellowcard Callum Elder 86'
Club Friendlies 1
Jul 29, 2023 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Korey Smith 59' goal
  • goal Anis Ben Slimane 17'
  • goal George Baldock 83'
  • goal Iliman Ndiaye 85'
Championship Gameweek 27
Jan 15, 2022 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Tom Lawrence 69' goal
  • Tom Lawrence 78' goal
  • Tom Lawrence 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Iliman Ndiaye 90'+3'
Championship Gameweek 9
Sep 25, 2021 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Morgan Gibbs-White 24' yellowcard
  • Billy Sharp 90' goal
  • yellowcard Graeme Shinnie 24'
  • redcard Kelle Roos 57'
EFL Cup
Aug 24, 2021 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Bramall Lane
  • Ben Osborn 43' yellowcard
  • Luke Freeman 53' goal
  • John Fleck 74' yellowcard
  • Billy Sharp 76' goal
  • Luke Freeman 83' yellowcard
  • Jack Robinson 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Louie Sibley 44'
Pre-Season Friendlies
Sep 1, 2020 5.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Ben Osborn 38'
  • goal Billy Sharp 73'