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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 63.23%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 14.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.78%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.38%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Luton Town | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
| 63.23% ( | 22.14% ( | 14.63% ( |
| Both teams to score 43.97% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.4% ( | 52.6% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.74% ( | 74.25% ( |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.92% ( | 16.08% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.53% ( | 45.47% ( |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.4% ( | 47.6% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.07% ( | 82.93% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Luton Town | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
| 1-0 @ 13.98% ( 2-0 @ 12.78% 2-1 @ 9.49% ( 3-0 @ 7.79% ( 3-1 @ 5.78% ( 4-0 @ 3.56% ( 4-1 @ 2.64% ( 3-2 @ 2.15% ( 5-0 @ 1.3% ( 4-2 @ 0.98% ( 5-1 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 1.82% Total : 63.22% | 1-1 @ 10.38% ( 0-0 @ 7.65% ( 2-2 @ 3.52% ( Other @ 0.58% Total : 22.13% | 0-1 @ 5.68% ( 1-2 @ 3.86% ( 0-2 @ 2.11% ( 1-3 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 2.03% Total : 14.63% |