Birmingham logo
Blackburn logo
Bristol City
Charlton Athletic
Coventry City
Derby logo
Hull logo
Ipswich logo
Leicester logo
Middlesbrough logo
Millwall logo
Norwich logo
Oxford United
Portsmouth
Preston North End logo
QPR logo
Sheffield United logo
Sheffield Wednesday logo
Southampton logo
Stoke logo
Swansea logo
Watford logo
West Brom logo
Wrexham AFC
Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 31
Feb 19, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Plymouth Argyle

Luton
1 - 1
Plymouth

Brown (55')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Talovierov (70')
Szucs (77'), Bundu (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Luton 0-1 Sheff Utd
Saturday, February 15 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 2-0 Plymouth
Saturday, February 15 at 3pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 63.23%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 14.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.78%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.38%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result
Luton TownDrawPlymouth Argyle
63.23% (0.052 0.05)22.14% (-0.035 -0.04)14.63% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Both teams to score 43.97% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.4% (0.099000000000004 0.1)52.6% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.74% (0.084999999999997 0.08)74.25% (-0.084999999999994 -0.08)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.92% (0.051000000000002 0.05)16.08% (-0.050999999999998 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.53% (0.093000000000004 0.09)45.47% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.4% (0.035000000000004 0.04)47.6% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.07% (0.025000000000002 0.03)82.93% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 63.22%
    Plymouth Argyle 14.63%
    Draw 22.13%
Luton TownDrawPlymouth Argyle
1-0 @ 13.98% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 12.78%
2-1 @ 9.49% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.79% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.78% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.56% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.64% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.15% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.3% (0.006 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.98% (0.005 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.97% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 63.22%
1-1 @ 10.38% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.65% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-2 @ 3.52% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 22.13%
0-1 @ 5.68% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-2 @ 3.86% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 2.11% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 14.63%

How you voted: Luton vs Plymouth

Luton Town
55.8%
Draw
17.5%
Plymouth Argyle
26.7%
120
Head to Head
Sep 27, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 7
Plymouth
3-1
Luton
Hajal (8'), Cissoko (69', 90+3')
Randell (36')
Moses (71')
Adebayo (15'), Walters (83'), Burke (87'), Clark (87')
Mar 9, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 36
Plymouth
0-0
Luton
Carey (29'), Edwards (42'), Canavan (62'), Fox (80')
Hylton (30'), Shinnie (74')
Nov 17, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 18
Luton
5-1
Plymouth
Collins (12', 45' pen., 77'), Lee (23'), Justin (29')
Grant (89')
O'Keefe (52'), Carey (73')
Feb 25, 2017 3pm
Luton
1-1
Plymouth
Hylton (8')
Smith (17'), Cook (43')
Tanner (25')
Aug 6, 2016 3pm
Plymouth
0-3
Luton

Miller (45')
Hylton (50'), Marriott (69'), Smith (96')
Hylton (26'), Ruddock (55'), Potts (71'), McGeehan (98')
Potts (89')