Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 59.61%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 16.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.05%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (6.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.