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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 50.76%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 0-1 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.46%) and 1-2 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 1-0 (7.61%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Millwall |
| 24% ( | 25.24% ( | 50.76% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.1% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.52% ( | 52.48% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.85% ( | 74.15% ( |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.17% ( | 36.82% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.39% ( | 73.61% ( |
| Millwall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.31% ( | 20.69% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.71% ( | 53.28% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Millwall |
| 1-0 @ 7.61% ( 2-1 @ 5.99% ( 2-0 @ 3.8% ( 3-1 @ 2% ( 3-2 @ 1.57% ( 3-0 @ 1.27% ( Other @ 1.77% Total : 24% | 1-1 @ 11.99% ( 0-0 @ 7.62% ( 2-2 @ 4.72% ( Other @ 0.91% Total : 25.24% | 0-1 @ 12% ( 0-2 @ 9.46% ( 1-2 @ 9.45% ( 0-3 @ 4.97% ( 1-3 @ 4.96% ( 2-3 @ 2.48% ( 0-4 @ 1.96% ( 1-4 @ 1.96% ( 2-4 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 2.55% Total : 50.75% |