Championship

Championship | Gameweek 34

Feb 22, 2025 at 12.30pm UK

Pride Park Stadium

Derby
0 - 1
Millwall

Goudmijn (44'), Nyambe (54')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Coburn (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Derby County and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County

All competitions

Last Game: QPR 4-0 Derby
Friday, February 14 at 8pm in Championship

Goals
for

Millwall

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Preston 1-1 Millwall
Tuesday, February 18 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 35.87%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 34.04% and a draw had a probability of 30.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.16%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (12.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result
Derby County	Draw	Millwall
35.87% ( -0.26)	30.08% ( 0.06)	34.04% ( 0.19)

Both teams to score 41.89% (

-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

34.62% (

-0.18)

65.38% (

0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.84% (

-0.13)

84.16% (

0.12)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.35% (

-0.27)

34.64% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.63% (

-0.29)

71.37% (

0.28)

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.1% (

0.03)

35.9% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.32% (

0.04)

72.68% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Derby County 35.87%

Millwall 34.04%

Draw 30.07%

Derby County	Draw	Millwall
1-0 @ 13.18% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.16% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 6.99% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 2.53% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.47% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.25% Total : 35.87%	1-1 @ 13.5% 0-0 @ 12.43% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 3.67% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.47% Total : 30.07%	0-1 @ 12.74% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 6.92% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.53% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.01% Total : 34.04%