Championship Gameweek 34
Derby
Feb 22, 2025 12.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Pride Park Stadium
Millwall
  • Kenzo Goudmijn 44' yellowcard
  • Ryan Nyambe 54' yellowcard
  • goal Josh Coburn 90'+5'

Derby County vs Millwall - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County

All competitions
Last game
Feb 14, 2025 8.00pm
QPR 4 - 0 Derby
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Jerry Yates

Millwall

All competitions
Last game
Feb 18, 2025 7.45pm
Preston 1 - 1 Millwall
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Mihailo Ivanovic

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 35.87%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 34.04% and a draw had a probability of 30.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.16%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (12.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result

Derby County 35.87% ▼ (-0.26)
Draw 30.08% ▲ (+0.06)
Millwall 34.04% ▲ (+0.20)

Both Teams to Score: 

41.89% ▼ (-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5 34.62% ▼ (-0.19)
Under 2.5 65.38% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 3.5 15.84% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 3.5 84.16% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 4.5 6.06% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 4.5 93.94% ▲ (+0.07)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5 65.35% ▼ (-0.27)
Under 0.5 34.64% ▲ (+0.27)
Over 1.5 28.63% ▼ (-0.29)
Under 1.5 71.37% ▲ (+0.29)

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5 64.1% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 0.5 35.9% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 1.5 27.32% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 72.68% ▼ (-0.04)

Score analysis

Derby County 35.87%
Draw 30.07%
Millwall 34.04%
Derby County
1-0 @ 13.18% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 7.16% ▼ (-0.05)
2-0 @ 6.99% ▼ (-0.06)
3-1 @ 2.53% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 2.47% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 1.3% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 35.87%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.5%
0-0 @ 12.43% ▲ (+0.09)
2-2 @ 3.67% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 30.07%
Millwall
0-1 @ 12.74% ▲ (+0.10)
1-2 @ 6.92% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.53% ▲ (+0.06)
1-3 @ 2.36% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.23% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 34.04%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 10
Millwall
Oct 19, 2024 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT The Den
Derby
  • Joe Bryan 37' yellowcard
  • Mihailo Ivanovic 85' goal
  • Ryan Wintle 90' yellowcard
  • goal Jerry Yates 78'
Championship Gameweek 34
Derby
Feb 23, 2022 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT
Millwall
  • Jake Cooper 88' goal
  • Ryan Allsop 90' yellowcard
  • goal Jed Wallace 2'
  • yellowcard George Saville 29'
  • goal Tyler Burey 30'
Championship Gameweek 17
Millwall
Nov 6, 2021 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
Derby
  • Scott Malone 45'+1' goal
  • Billy Mitchell 58' yellowcard
  • Jake Cooper 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nathan Byrne 27'
  • goal Festy Ebosele 44'
  • redcard Nathan Byrne 64'
Championship Gameweek 36
Derby
Mar 13, 2021 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Pride Park Stadium
Millwall
  • Graeme Shinnie 84' yellowcard
  • goal Shaun Hutchinson 45'
  • yellowcard George Evans 58'
Championship Gameweek 16
Millwall
Dec 5, 2020 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT The Den
Derby
  • yellowcard Graeme Shinnie 34'
  • yellowcard Krystian Bielik 58'
  • goal Jason Knight 69'
  • yellowcard Martyn Waghorn 85'
  • yellowcard Colin Kazim-Richards 86'
  • yellowcard Nathan Byrne 87'
Championship Gameweek 38
Millwall
Jun 20, 2020 1.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT The Den
Derby
  • Matt Smith 15' goal
  • Connor Mahoney 90'+3' goal
  • goal Louie Sibley 26'
  • yellowcard Martyn Waghorn 38'
  • goal Louie Sibley 71'
  • yellowcard Louie Sibley 89'
  • goal Louie Sibley 90'

Form Data

QPR 4 - 0 Derby
Derby 0 - 0 Oxford Utd
Norwich 1 - 1 Derby
Derby 0 - 1 Sheff Utd
Cardiff 2 - 1 Derby
Derby 0 - 1 Sunderland
Preston 1 - 1 Millwall
Millwall 1 - 1 West Brom
Plymouth 5 - 1 Millwall
Leeds 0 - 2 Millwall
Millwall 2 - 1 QPR
Portsmouth 0 - 1 Millwall