Championship Gameweek 32
Derby
Feb 11, 2025 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Pride Park Stadium
Oxford Utd
  • Marcus Harness 90'+1' yellowcard

Derby County vs Oxford United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County

All competitions
Last game
Feb 8, 2025 3.00pm
Norwich 1 - 1 Derby
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Jerry Yates

Oxford United

All competitions
Last game
Feb 4, 2025 7.45pm
Burnley 1 - 0 Oxford Utd
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Gregory Leigh

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 48.12%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Oxford United had a probability of 24.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.64%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.65%), while for a Oxford United win it was 0-1 (9.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.

Result

Derby County 48.12% ▼ (-0.02)
Draw 27.19% ▼ (-0.01)
Oxford United 24.69% ▲ (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.32% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 40.94% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 59.06% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 20.48% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 79.52% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 4.5 8.61% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 4.5 91.38% ▼ (-0.02)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5 75.36% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 24.64% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 40.84% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 59.16% ▼ (-0.02)

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5 60.14% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 0.5 39.86% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 1.5 23.47% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 76.53% ▼ (-0.04)

Score analysis

Derby County 48.11%
Draw 27.18%
Oxford United 24.69%
Derby County
1-0 @ 13.75% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 9.64% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.86% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.5% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.14% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.9% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.58%
4-1 @ 1.45% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 48.11%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.65%
0-0 @ 9.82% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.08% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 27.18%
Oxford United
0-1 @ 9.03% ▼ (-0.01)
1-2 @ 5.82% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.16% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.78% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.27% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.25% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 24.69%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 11
Oxford Utd
Oct 22, 2024 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT The Kassam Stadium
Derby
  • Dane Scarlett 12' goal
  • Tyler Goodrham 19' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ben Osborn 38'
  • yellowcard Callum Elder 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Corey Taylor 50'
  • goal Nathaniel Mendez-Laing 55'
  • yellowcard Eiran Cashin 76'
League One Gameweek 25
Oxford Utd
Dec 29, 2023 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 2 1
FT The Kassam Stadium
Derby
  • Cameron Brannagan 2' goal
  • Cameron Brannagan 13' goal
  • James Beadle 67' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joe Wildsmith 2'
  • yellowcard Max Bird 24'
  • goal Craig Forsyth 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Tom Barkhuizen 59'
  • yellowcard Tyreece John-Jules 71'
  • goal Liam Thompson 81'
  • goal Eiran Cashin 86'
League One Gameweek 3
Derby
Aug 15, 2023 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Pride Park Stadium
Oxford Utd
  • James Collins 27' yellowcard
  • Max Bird 37' yellowcard
  • Conor Hourihane 42' yellowcard
  • Kane Wilson 68' yellowcard
  • Eiran Cashin 82' yellowcard
  • Martyn Waghorn 87' goal
  • goal Mark Harris 32'
  • yellowcard Sam Long 52'
  • goal Mark Harris 72'
  • yellowcard James Beadle 90'+1'
League One Gameweek 36
Oxford Utd
Mar 11, 2023 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 2
FT The Kassam Stadium
Derby
  • Sam Long 14' goal
  • Kyle Joseph 90' goal
  • goal Louie Sibley 23'
  • goal Louie Sibley 40'
  • goal Sam Long 61' (OG)
League One Gameweek 1
Derby
Jul 30, 2022 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Pride Park Stadium
Oxford Utd
  • Conor Hourihane 47' yellowcard
  • James Collins 55' yellowcard
  • Conor Hourihane 80' goal
  • Nathaniel Mendez-Laing 82' yellowcard
  • Curtis Davies 90'+7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Steve Seddon 28'
  • yellowcard Marcus Browne 51'

Form Data

Norwich 1 - 1 Derby
Derby 0 - 1 Sheff Utd
Cardiff 2 - 1 Derby
Derby 0 - 1 Sunderland
Derby 0 - 2 Watford
Leyton Orient 1 - 1 Derby
Burnley 1 - 0 Oxford Utd
Oxford Utd 1 - 1 Bristol City
Stoke 0 - 0 Oxford Utd
Oxford Utd 3 - 2 Luton
Oxford Utd 1 - 0 Blackburn
Plymouth 1 - 1 Oxford Utd