Birmingham logo
Blackburn logo
Bristol City
Charlton Athletic
Coventry City
Derby logo
Hull logo
Ipswich logo
Leicester logo
Middlesbrough logo
Millwall logo
Norwich logo
Oxford United
Portsmouth
Preston North End logo
QPR logo
Sheffield United logo
Sheffield Wednesday logo
Southampton logo
Stoke logo
Swansea logo
Watford logo
West Brom logo
Wrexham AFC
Championship header 2

Championship

Derby logo
Championship | Gameweek 32
Feb 11, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
Oxford United

Derby
0 - 0
Oxford Utd


Harness (90+1')
FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Derby County and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County

All competitions
Championship
Last Game: Norwich 1-1 Derby
Saturday, February 8 at 3pm in Championship

Oxford United

All competitions
Last Game: Burnley 1-0 Oxford Utd
Tuesday, February 4 at 7.45pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 48.12%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Oxford United had a probability of 24.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.64%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.65%), while for a Oxford United win it was 0-1 (9.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.

Result
Derby CountyDrawOxford United
48.12% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)27.19% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)24.69% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 45.32% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.94% (0.032000000000004 0.03)59.06% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.48% (0.023000000000003 0.02)79.52% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.36% (0.0049999999999955 0)24.64% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.84% (0.009999999999998 0.01)59.16% (-0.012 -0.01)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.14% (0.035000000000004 0.04)39.86% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.47% (0.033000000000001 0.03)76.53% (-0.035000000000011 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Derby County 48.11%
    Oxford United 24.69%
    Draw 27.18%
Derby CountyDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 13.75% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.64% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.86% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 4.5% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 4.14% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 1.9% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.58%
4-1 @ 1.45% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 48.11%
1-1 @ 12.65%
0-0 @ 9.82% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.08% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 27.18%
0-1 @ 9.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 5.82% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 1.78% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.27% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.25% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 24.69%

How you voted: Derby vs Oxford Utd

Derby County
37.3%
Draw
13.4%
Oxford United
49.3%
67
Head to Head
Oct 22, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Oxford Utd
1-1
Derby
Scarlett (12')
Goodrham (19')
Mendez-Laing (55')
Osborn (38'), Elder (45+1'), Taylor (50'), Cashin (76')
> Preview
Dec 29, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Oxford Utd
2-3
Derby
Brannagan (2' pen., 13')
Beadle (67')
Forsyth (45+3'), Thompson (81'), Cashin (86')
Wildsmith (2'), Bird (24'), Barkhuizen (59'), John-Jules (71')
> Preview
Aug 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Derby
1-2
Oxford Utd
Waghorn (87')
Collins (27'), Bird (37'), Hourihane (42'), Wilson (68'), Cashin (82')
Harris (32', 72')
Long (52'), Beadle (90+1')
Mar 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 36
Oxford Utd
2-3
Derby
Long (14'), Joseph (90')
Sibley (23', 40'), Long (61' og.)
> Preview
Jul 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 1
Derby
1-0
Oxford Utd
Hourihane (80')
Hourihane (47'), Collins (55'), Mendez-Laing (82'), Davies (90+7')

Seddon (28'), Browne (51')