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Championship | Gameweek 32
Feb 11, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
Oxford United

Derby
0 - 0
Oxford Utd


Harness (90+1')
FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Derby County and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Norwich 1-1 Derby
Saturday, February 8 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Burnley 1-0 Oxford Utd
Tuesday, February 4 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Derby County 0-2 Oxford United

Considering the uncertainty surrounding the club, Derby may be nervous coming into the clash and Oxford may take advantage. While the visitors have been poor away from home, they have started to lose less on the road and their face hosts have struggled to score goals at Pride Park Stadium. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 48.12%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Oxford United had a probability of 24.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.64%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.65%), while for a Oxford United win it was 0-1 (9.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.

Result
Derby CountyDrawOxford United
48.12% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01) 27.19% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 24.69% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 45.32% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.94% (0.032000000000004 0.03)59.06% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.48% (0.023000000000003 0.02)79.52% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.36% (0.0049999999999955 0)24.64% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.84% (0.009999999999998 0.01)59.16% (-0.012 -0.01)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.14% (0.035000000000004 0.04)39.86% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.47% (0.033000000000001 0.03)76.53% (-0.035000000000011 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Derby County 48.11%
    Oxford United 24.69%
    Draw 27.18%
Derby CountyDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 13.75% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.64% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.86% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 4.5% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 4.14% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 1.9% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.58%
4-1 @ 1.45% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 48.11%
1-1 @ 12.65%
0-0 @ 9.82% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.08% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 27.18%
0-1 @ 9.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 5.82% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 1.78% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.27% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.25% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 24.69%

How you voted: Derby vs Oxford Utd

Derby County
37.3%
Draw
13.4%
Oxford United
49.3%
67
Head to Head
Oct 22, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Oxford Utd
1-1
Derby
Scarlett (12')
Goodrham (19')
Mendez-Laing (55')
Osborn (38'), Elder (45+1'), Taylor (50'), Cashin (76')
Dec 29, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Oxford Utd
2-3
Derby
Brannagan (2' pen., 13')
Beadle (67')
Forsyth (45+3'), Thompson (81'), Cashin (86')
Wildsmith (2'), Bird (24'), Barkhuizen (59'), John-Jules (71')
Aug 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Derby
1-2
Oxford Utd
Waghorn (87')
Collins (27'), Bird (37'), Hourihane (42'), Wilson (68'), Cashin (82')
Harris (32', 72')
Long (52'), Beadle (90+1')
Mar 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 36
Oxford Utd
2-3
Derby
Long (14'), Joseph (90')
Sibley (23', 40'), Long (61' og.)
Jul 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 1
Derby
1-0
Oxford Utd
Hourihane (80')
Hourihane (47'), Collins (55'), Mendez-Laing (82'), Davies (90+7')

Seddon (28'), Browne (51')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds382311476255180
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd38257653282580
3Burnley382115252114178
4Sunderland381912755371869
5Coventry CityCoventry38178135548759
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom381318748341457
7Bristol City38141594941857
8Middlesbrough38159145748954
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn38157164240252
10Watford38157164751-452
11Millwall381312133739-251
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds38149155359-651
13Norwich CityNorwich381213136054649
14Preston North EndPreston381017113944-547
15Queens Park RangersQPR381112154450-645
16Swansea CitySwansea38128183849-1144
17Portsmouth38119184661-1542
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd381012163955-1642
19Hull City381011173947-841
20Stoke CityStoke38912173751-1439
21Cardiff CityCardiff38912174262-2039
22Derby CountyDerby38108204051-1138
23Luton TownLuton3898213460-2635
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth38712194077-3733


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