Championship

Championship | Gameweek 31

Feb 8, 2025 at 3pm UK

Carrow Road

Norwich
1 - 1
Derby

Sargent (68')
Fisher (30'), Doyle (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Yates (89' pen.)
Adams (27'), Phillips (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Norwich City

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Watford 0-1 Norwich
Saturday, February 1 at 12.30pm in Championship

Goals
for

Derby County

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Derby 0-1 Sheff Utd
Saturday, February 1 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 52.06%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 24.45% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (6.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.

Result
Norwich City	Draw	Derby County
52.06% ( 0.13)	23.5% ( -0.21)	24.45% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 56.07% (

0.78)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.17% (

44.83% (

-0.99)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.81% (

0.95)

67.19% (

-0.95)

Norwich City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.77% (

0.42)

17.23% (

-0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.47% (

0.73)

47.53% (

-0.73)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.74% (

0.61)

32.26% (

-0.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.25% (

0.69)

68.75% (

-0.69)

Score Analysis

Norwich City 52.06%

Derby County 24.45%

Draw 23.49%

Norwich City	Draw	Derby County
1-0 @ 9.77% ( -0.29) 2-1 @ 9.72% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.59% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 5.7% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 5.04% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.22% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 2.51% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 2.22% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.42% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.87% Total : 52.06%	1-1 @ 11.05% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 5.56% ( -0.24) 2-2 @ 5.5% ( 0.1) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.49%	0-1 @ 6.29% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 6.26% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.57% Total : 24.45%