Championship Gameweek 31
Norwich
Feb 8, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Carrow Road
Derby
  • Kellen Fisher 30' yellowcard
  • Joshua Sargent 68' goal
  • Callum Doyle 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ebou Adams 27'
  • yellowcard Nat Phillips 59'
  • goal Jerry Yates 89'

Norwich City vs Derby County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Norwich City

All competitions
Last game
Feb 1, 2025 12.30pm
Watford 0 - 1 Norwich
Goals scored
71
Top scorer
Borja Sainz

Derby County

All competitions
Last game
Feb 1, 2025 3.00pm
Derby 0 - 1 Sheff Utd
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Jerry Yates

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 52.06%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 24.45% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (6.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.

Result

Norwich City 52.06% ▲ (+0.13)
Draw 23.5% ▼ (-0.21)
Derby County 24.45% ▲ (+0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.07% ▲ (+0.79)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.17% ▲ (+1.00)
Under 2.5 44.83% ▼ (-1.00)
Over 3.5 32.81% ▲ (+0.96)
Under 3.5 67.19% ▼ (-0.96)
Over 4.5 16.66% ▲ (+0.69)
Under 4.5 83.34% ▼ (-0.69)

Norwich City Goals

Over 0.5 82.77% ▲ (+0.42)
Under 0.5 17.23% ▼ (-0.42)
Over 1.5 52.47% ▲ (+0.73)
Under 1.5 47.53% ▼ (-0.73)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5 67.74% ▲ (+0.62)
Under 0.5 32.26% ▼ (-0.61)
Over 1.5 31.25% ▲ (+0.69)
Under 1.5 68.75% ▼ (-0.69)

Score analysis

Norwich City 52.06%
Draw 23.49%
Derby County 24.45%
Norwich City
1-0 @ 9.77% ▼ (-0.29)
2-1 @ 9.72% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 8.59% ▼ (-0.14)
3-1 @ 5.7% ▲ (+0.09)
3-0 @ 5.04% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.22% ▲ (+0.11)
4-1 @ 2.51% ▲ (+0.08)
4-0 @ 2.22% ▲ (+0.03)
4-2 @ 1.42% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 3.87%
Total : 52.06%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.05% ▼ (-0.14)
0-0 @ 5.56% ▼ (-0.25)
2-2 @ 5.5% ▲ (+0.10)
3-3 @ 1.22% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.49%
Derby County
0-1 @ 6.29% ▼ (-0.17)
1-2 @ 6.26% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 3.56% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 2.36% ▲ (+0.05)
2-3 @ 2.07% ▲ (+0.08)
0-3 @ 1.34% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 24.45%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 7
Derby
Sep 28, 2024 12.30pm
2
3
HT : 0 1
FT Pride Park Stadium
Norwich
  • Craig Forsyth 21' yellowcard
  • Craig Forsyth 60' goal
  • Tawanda Chirewa 77' yellowcard
  • Kenzo Goudmijn 79' yellowcard
  • Corey Taylor 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Shane Duffy 24'
  • goal Borja Sainz 45'+3'
  • goal Borja Sainz 65'
  • goal Borja Sainz 87'
  • yellowcard Jose Cordoba 90'+5'
Championship Gameweek 41
Derby
Apr 10, 2021 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Pride Park Stadium
Norwich
  • Graeme Shinnie 11' yellowcard
  • Max Bird 15' yellowcard
  • Craig Forsyth 20' yellowcard
  • Patrick Roberts 68' yellowcard
  • goal Kieran Dowell 21'
Championship Gameweek 4
Norwich
Oct 3, 2020 12.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Carrow Road
Derby
  • Emiliano Buendia 44' yellowcard
  • Christoph Zimmermann 54' yellowcard
  • Lukas Rupp 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Graeme Shinnie 79'
  • yellowcard Jason Knight 79'
  • goal Wayne Rooney 87'
Championship Gameweek 25
Norwich
Dec 29, 2018 3.00pm
3
4
HT : 2 2
FT Carrow Road (Norwich, Norfolk)
Derby
  • Christoph Zimmermann 5' yellowcard
  • Ben Godfrey 25' goal
  • Teemu Pukki 31' goal
  • Max Aarons 45' yellowcard
  • Mario Vrancic 62' yellowcard
  • Teemu Pukki 81' goal
  • goal Fikayo Tomori 36'
  • goal Mason Mount 45'
  • yellowcard George Evans 66'
  • goal Florian Jozefzoon 87'
  • goal Jack Marriott 90'
  • yellowcard Duane Holmes 90'
  • yellowcard Harry Wilson 90'
Championship Gameweek 11
Derby
Oct 3, 2018 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Pride Park Stadium (Derby)
Norwich
  • Jayden Bogle 62' yellowcard
  • Craig Bryson 86' goal
  • yellowcard Christoph Zimmermann 45'
  • yellowcard Jamal Lewis 54'
  • goal Timm Klose 69'
Championship
Derby
Feb 10, 2018 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Norwich
  • Matej Vydra 12' goal
  • Scott Carson 39' yellowcard
  • Andreas Weimann 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alexander Tettey 30'
  • yellowcard Harrison Reed 53'
  • goal James Maddison 72'
  • yellowcard Dennis Srbeny 90'

Form Data

Watford 0 - 1 Norwich
Norwich 5 - 1 Swansea
Leeds 2 - 0 Norwich
Sheff Utd 2 - 0 Norwich
Norwich 0 - 4 Brighton
Norwich 2 - 1 Coventry
Derby 0 - 1 Sheff Utd
Cardiff 2 - 1 Derby
Derby 0 - 1 Sunderland
Derby 0 - 2 Watford
Leyton Orient 1 - 1 Derby
Bristol City 1 - 0 Derby