Championship Gameweek 29
Jan 25, 2025 12.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Bet365 Stadium
  • Michael Rose 46' yellowcard
  • Enda Stevens 76' yellowcard
  • Nathan Lowe 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Cameron Brannagan 34'
  • yellowcard Tom Bradshaw 39'
  • yellowcard Peter Kioso 81'
  • yellowcard Alex Matos 90'

Stoke City vs Oxford United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Stoke City

All competitions
Last game
Jan 22, 2025 7.45pm
Portsmouth 3 - 1 Stoke
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Tom Cannon

Oxford United

All competitions
Last game
Jan 21, 2025 7.45pm
Oxford Utd 3 - 2 Luton
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Gregory Leigh

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 47.3%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 26.48% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (8.88%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 0-1 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result

Stoke City 47.3% (-0.07)
Draw 26.22% (+0.03)
Oxford United 26.48% (+0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.48% (-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.59% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 54.41% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 24.21% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 75.78% (+0.07)
Over 4.5 10.86% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 89.13% (+0.04)

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5 77% (-0.07)
Under 0.5 23% (+0.07)
Over 1.5 43.2% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 56.8% (+0.10)

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5 64.27% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 35.73% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 27.49% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 72.51% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Stoke City 47.3%
Draw 26.22%
Oxford United 26.48%
Stoke City
1-0 @ 12.07% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.13% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.88% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.48% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 4.35% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.3% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.64% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.6% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 47.3%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.43% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 8.22% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.7% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 26.22%
Oxford United
0-1 @ 8.46% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 6.4% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.35% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.19% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.61% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.49% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 26.48%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 5
Sep 14, 2024 12.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Kassam Stadium
  • Idris El Mizouni 48' goal
  • yellowcard Junior Tchamadeu 79'