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Championship | Gameweek 29
Jan 25, 2025 at 12.30pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Oxford United

Stoke
0 - 0
Oxford Utd


Rose (46'), Stevens (76'), Lowe (90+1')
FT

Brannagan (34'), Bradshaw (39'), Kioso (81'), Matos (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Portsmouth 3-1 Stoke
Wednesday, January 22 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Oxford Utd 3-2 Luton
Tuesday, January 21 at 7.45pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 47.3%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 26.48% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (8.88%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 0-1 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
Stoke CityDrawOxford United
47.3% (-0.068000000000005 -0.07)26.22% (0.026 0.03)26.48% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Both teams to score 49.48% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.59% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)54.41% (0.073 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.21% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)75.78% (0.061000000000007 0.06)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77% (-0.061000000000007 -0.06)23% (0.064 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.2% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)56.8% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.27% (0.0010000000000048 0)35.73% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.49% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)72.51% (0.0039999999999907 0)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 47.3%
    Oxford United 26.48%
    Draw 26.22%
Stoke CityDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 12.07% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.13% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.88% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.48% (-0.013000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.35% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.3% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.64% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.6% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 47.3%
1-1 @ 12.43% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.22% (0.023 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.7% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 26.22%
0-1 @ 8.46% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.4% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 4.35% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.19% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 1.61% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.49% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 26.48%

How you voted: Stoke vs Oxford Utd

Stoke City
35.5%
Draw
12.9%
Oxford United
51.6%
31
Head to Head
Sep 14, 2024 12.30pm