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Championship | Gameweek 31
Feb 4, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Turf Moor
Oxford United

Burnley
1 - 0
Oxford Utd

Helik (33' og.)
Roberts (59'), Mejbri (64')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Vaulks (43'), Brannagan (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Burnley and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Portsmouth 0-0 Burnley
Saturday, February 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-1 Bristol City
Saturday, February 1 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Burnley 1-0 Oxford United

While Burnley may have recorded several 0-0 draws in recent weeks, they remain the clear favourites given the significant difference in league standings between the two sides, and we expect the hosts to secure a victory in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 57.45%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Oxford United had a probability of 17.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.1%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.47%), while for a Oxford United win it was 0-1 (7.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Burnley in this match.

Result
BurnleyDrawOxford United
57.45% (2.007 2.01) 24.92% (-0.735 -0.73) 17.62% (-1.275 -1.28)
Both teams to score 42.44% (-0.126 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.95% (0.96700000000001 0.97)58.05% (-0.969 -0.97)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.27% (0.756 0.76)78.72% (-0.759 -0.76)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.81% (1.194 1.19)20.19% (-1.199 -1.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.51% (1.879 1.88)52.49% (-1.882 -1.88)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.18% (-0.971 -0.97)46.82% (0.96700000000001 0.97)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.65% (-0.747 -0.75)82.35% (0.744 0.74)
Score Analysis
    Burnley 57.45%
    Oxford United 17.62%
    Draw 24.91%
BurnleyDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 15.12%
2-0 @ 12.1% (0.44 0.44)
2-1 @ 9.18% (0.086 0.09)
3-0 @ 6.45% (0.456 0.46)
3-1 @ 4.9% (0.221 0.22)
4-0 @ 2.58% (0.269 0.27)
4-1 @ 1.96% (0.156 0.16)
3-2 @ 1.86% (0.035 0.04)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 57.45%
1-1 @ 11.47% (-0.32 -0.32)
0-0 @ 9.45% (-0.353 -0.35)
2-2 @ 3.48% (-0.062 -0.06)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 24.91%
0-1 @ 7.17% (-0.474 -0.47)
1-2 @ 4.35% (-0.244 -0.24)
0-2 @ 2.72% (-0.26 -0.26)
1-3 @ 1.1% (-0.094 -0.09)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 17.62%

How you voted: Burnley vs Oxford Utd

Burnley
76.9%
Draw
19.2%
Oxford United
3.8%
104
Head to Head
Sep 28, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 7
Oxford Utd
0-0
Burnley
Goodrham (71')
Pires (53'), Brownhill (70')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds31199362194366
2Burnley31161323792861
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd30196541212061
4Sunderland301610445261958
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn31136123531445
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom301014639271244
7Middlesbrough301281049391044
8Norwich CityNorwich30119104942742
9Bristol City30101283835342
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds30119104346-342
11Coventry CityCoventry31118124140141
12Watford30125134042-241
13Queens Park RangersQPR311011103540-541
14Millwall301010103027340
15Preston North EndPreston3081393338-537
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd31910123445-1137
17Swansea CitySwansea3097143242-1034
18Stoke CityStoke30711122837-932
19Cardiff CityCardiff30710133351-1831
20Portsmouth3079143652-1630
21Hull City3078153140-929
22Derby CountyDerby3076173241-927
23Luton TownLuton3076173049-1927
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth30510152963-3425


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