Championship Gameweek 31
Feb 4, 2025 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Turf Moor
  • Michal Helik 33' goal
  • Connor Roberts 59' yellowcard
  • Hannibal Mejbri 64' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Will Vaulks 43'
  • yellowcard Cameron Brannagan 70'

Burnley vs Oxford United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Burnley

All competitions
Last game
Feb 1, 2025 3.00pm
Portsmouth 0 - 0 Burnley
Goals scored
69
Top scorer
Josh Brownhill

Oxford United

All competitions
Last game
Feb 1, 2025 12.30pm
Oxford Utd 1 - 1 Bristol City
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Gregory Leigh

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 57.45%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Oxford United had a probability of 17.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.1%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.47%), while for a Oxford United win it was 0-1 (7.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Burnley in this match.

Result

Burnley 57.45% (+0.17)
Draw 24.92% (-0.07)
Oxford United 17.62% (-0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.44% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 41.95% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 58.05% (-0.09)
Over 3.5 21.27% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 78.72% (-0.08)
Over 4.5 9.08% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 90.92% (-0.05)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5 79.81% (+0.10)
Under 0.5 20.19% (-0.11)
Over 1.5 47.51% (+0.16)
Under 1.5 52.49% (-0.16)

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5 53.18% (-0.09)
Under 0.5 46.82% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 17.65% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 82.35% (+0.07)

Score analysis

Burnley 57.45%
Draw 24.91%
Oxford United 17.62%
Burnley
1-0 @ 15.12%
2-0 @ 12.1% (+0.04)
2-1 @ 9.18% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 6.45% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 4.9% (+0.02)
4-0 @ 2.58% (+0.03)
4-1 @ 1.96% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.86% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 57.45%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.47% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 9.45% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 3.48% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 24.91%
Oxford United
0-1 @ 7.17% (-0.05)
1-2 @ 4.35% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 2.72% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 1.1% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 17.62%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 7
Sep 28, 2024 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Kassam Stadium
  • Tyler Goodrham 71' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lucas Pires 53'
  • yellowcard Josh Brownhill 70'