Championship

Championship | Gameweek 31

Feb 4, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Turf Moor

Burnley
1 - 0
Oxford Utd

Helik (33' og.)
Roberts (59'), Mejbri (64')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Vaulks (43'), Brannagan (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Burnley and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burnley

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Portsmouth 0-0 Burnley
Saturday, February 1 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Oxford United

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-1 Bristol City
Saturday, February 1 at 12.30pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 57.45%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Oxford United had a probability of 17.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.1%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.47%), while for a Oxford United win it was 0-1 (7.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Burnley in this match.

Result
Burnley	Draw	Oxford United
57.45% ( 2.01)	24.92% ( -0.73)	17.62% ( -1.28)

Both teams to score 42.44% (

-0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.95% (

0.97)

58.05% (

-0.97)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.27% (

0.76)

78.72% (

-0.76)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.81% (

1.19)

20.19% (

-1.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.51% (

1.88)

52.49% (

-1.88)

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.18% (

-0.97)

46.82% (

0.97)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.65% (

-0.75)

82.35% (

0.74)

Score Analysis

Burnley 57.45%

Oxford United 17.62%

Draw 24.91%

Burnley	Draw	Oxford United
1-0 @ 15.12% 2-0 @ 12.1% ( 0.44) 2-1 @ 9.18% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 6.45% ( 0.46) 3-1 @ 4.9% ( 0.22) 4-0 @ 2.58% ( 0.27) 4-1 @ 1.96% ( 0.16) 3-2 @ 1.86% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.3% Total : 57.45%	1-1 @ 11.47% ( -0.32) 0-0 @ 9.45% ( -0.35) 2-2 @ 3.48% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.51% Total : 24.91%	0-1 @ 7.17% ( -0.47) 1-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.24) 0-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.26) 1-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.27% Total : 17.62%