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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 51.01%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Portsmouth had a probability of 23.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.71%) and 1-2 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.07%), while for a Portsmouth win it was 1-0 (7.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Portsmouth | Draw | Burnley |
| 23.51% ( | 25.48% ( | 51.01% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.88% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.17% ( | 53.82% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.71% ( | 75.29% ( |
| Portsmouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.97% ( | 38.02% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.21% ( | 74.79% ( |
| Burnley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.87% ( | 21.12% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.03% ( | 53.96% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Portsmouth | Draw | Burnley |
| 1-0 @ 7.77% ( 2-1 @ 5.84% ( 2-0 @ 3.76% ( 3-1 @ 1.88% ( 3-2 @ 1.46% ( 3-0 @ 1.21% ( Other @ 1.6% Total : 23.51% | 1-1 @ 12.07% ( 0-0 @ 8.03% ( 2-2 @ 4.54% ( Other @ 0.83% Total : 25.47% | 0-1 @ 12.48% ( 0-2 @ 9.71% ( 1-2 @ 9.39% ( 0-3 @ 5.03% ( 1-3 @ 4.87% ( 2-3 @ 2.35% ( 0-4 @ 1.96% ( 1-4 @ 1.89% ( 2-4 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 2.42% Total : 51% |