Championship

Championship | Gameweek 30

Feb 1, 2025 at 12.30pm UK

The Kassam Stadium

Oxford Utd
1 - 1
Bristol City

Leigh (59')
Leigh (19'), Brannagan (30'), Helik (64'), Matos (84')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Sykes (65')
McCrorie (4'), Bird (81'), O'Leary (90+4')
Williams (31'), McCrorie (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Oxford United and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford United

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Stoke 0-0 Oxford Utd
Saturday, January 25 at 12.30pm in Championship

Goals
for

Bristol City

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Bristol City 2-1 Blackburn
Saturday, January 25 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 39.74%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 33.07% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-0 (9.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result
Oxford United	Draw	Bristol City
33.07% ( 0.11)	27.19% ( 0.2)	39.74% ( -0.31)

Both teams to score 49.91% (

-0.59)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.55% (

-0.76)

55.45% (

0.76)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.36% (

-0.63)

76.64% (

0.63)

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.64% (

-0.32)

31.35% (

0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.28% (

-0.37)

67.72% (

0.36)

Bristol City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.71% (

-0.53)

27.29% (

0.53)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.27% (

-0.69)

62.72% (

0.69)

Score Analysis

Oxford United 33.07%

Bristol City 39.74%

Draw 27.18%

Oxford United	Draw	Bristol City
1-0 @ 9.92% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 7.47% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 5.75% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 2.89% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.23% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.88% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.93% Total : 33.07%	1-1 @ 12.88% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 8.56% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.89% Total : 27.18%	0-1 @ 11.11% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 8.37% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 7.22% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.62% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 3.12% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.03) Other @ 2% Total : 39.74%