Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 39.74%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 33.07% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-0 (9.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.