Championship

Championship | Gameweek 33

Feb 14, 2025 at 8pm UK

Kiyan Prince Foundation Stadium

QPR
4 - 0
Derby

Chair (21', 57'), Saito (35'), Edwards (66')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Mendez-Laing (65'), Jackson (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Queens Park Rangers and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Queens Park Rangers

All competitions

Last Game: Coventry 1-0 QPR
Tuesday, February 11 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Derby County

All competitions

Last Game: Derby 0-0 Oxford Utd
Tuesday, February 11 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queens Park Rangers win with a probability of 45.89%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 27.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Queens Park Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (8.49%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (8.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Queens Park Rangers would win this match.

Result
Queens Park Rangers	Draw	Derby County
45.89% ( -0.29)	26.31% ( 0.04)	27.8% ( 0.26)

Both teams to score 50.19% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.03% (

0.01)

53.97% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.59% (

0.01)

75.41% (

-0)

Queens Park Rangers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.53% (

-0.13)

23.47% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.52% (

-0.2)

57.48% (

0.2)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.57% (

0.21)

34.42% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.86% (

0.22)

71.13% (

-0.22)

Score Analysis

Queens Park Rangers 45.89%

Derby County 27.8%

Draw 26.3%

Queens Park Rangers	Draw	Derby County
1-0 @ 11.7% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.05% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.49% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 4.37% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.1% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.33% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.59% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.77% Total : 45.89%	1-1 @ 12.48% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.08% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.83% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.91% Total : 26.3%	0-1 @ 8.61% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 6.66% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 4.59% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.22% Total : 27.8%