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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Stoke City win with a probability of 43.77%. A win for Watford has a probability of 31.12% and a draw has a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Watford win is 0-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.86%).
| Result | ||
| Stoke City | Draw | Watford |
| 43.77% ( | 25.11% ( | 31.12% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.9% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.57% ( | 47.43% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.35% ( | 69.65% ( |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.33% ( | 21.67% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.19% ( | 54.81% ( |
| Watford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.36% ( | 28.64% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.55% ( | 64.45% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Stoke City | Draw | Watford |
| 1-0 @ 9.49% ( 2-1 @ 9.07% ( 2-0 @ 7.26% ( 3-1 @ 4.63% ( 3-0 @ 3.7% ( 3-2 @ 2.89% ( 4-1 @ 1.77% ( 4-0 @ 1.41% ( 4-2 @ 1.11% ( Other @ 2.45% Total : 43.77% | 1-1 @ 11.86% ( 0-0 @ 6.21% ( 2-2 @ 5.67% ( 3-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.1% | 0-1 @ 7.76% ( 1-2 @ 7.42% ( 0-2 @ 4.85% ( 1-3 @ 3.09% ( 2-3 @ 2.36% ( 0-3 @ 2.02% ( 1-4 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 2.65% Total : 31.12% |