Championship Gameweek 31
Stoke
Feb 25, 2025 7.45pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT Bet365 Stadium
Middlesbrough
  • Joon-Ho Bae 45' goal
  • Tommy Conway 78' yellowcard
  • Andy Moran 83' yellowcard
  • goal Marcus Forss 20'
  • goal Finn Azaz 52'
  • goal Tommy Conway 73'
  • yellowcard Neto Borges 75'
  • yellowcard Tommy Conway 78'

Stoke City vs Middlesbrough - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Stoke City

All competitions
Last game
Feb 22, 2025 3.00pm
Norwich 4 - 2 Stoke
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Tom Cannon

Middlesbrough

All competitions
Last game
Feb 21, 2025 7.45pm
Bristol City 2 - 1 Middlesbrough
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Tommy Conway

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 40.1%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 34.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 1-0 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result

Stoke City 34.38% ▲ (+0.11)
Draw 25.52% ▼ (-0.05)
Middlesbrough 40.1% ▼ (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.62% ▲ (+0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.72% ▲ (+0.21)
Under 2.5 48.28% ▼ (-0.20)
Over 3.5 29.57% ▲ (+0.19)
Under 3.5 70.42% ▼ (-0.19)
Over 4.5 14.38% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 4.5 85.62% ▼ (-0.13)

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5 73.01% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 0.5 26.99% ▼ (-0.16)
Over 1.5 37.66% ▲ (+0.21)
Under 1.5 62.34% ▼ (-0.21)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5 76.18% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 0.5 23.81% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 1.5 42.01% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 1.5 57.99% ▼ (-0.09)

Score analysis

Stoke City 34.38%
Draw 25.51%
Middlesbrough 40.1%
Stoke City
1-0 @ 8.42% ▼ (-0.04)
2-1 @ 7.91% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 5.51% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.45% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.48% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 2.41% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 1.13% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 34.38%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.07% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 6.43% ▼ (-0.06)
2-2 @ 5.68% ▲ (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.19% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.51%
Middlesbrough
0-1 @ 9.22% ▼ (-0.07)
1-2 @ 8.67% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 6.62% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 4.15% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.16% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.71% ▲ (+0.02)
1-4 @ 1.49% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.14% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 40.1%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 7
Middlesbrough
Sep 28, 2024 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Riverside Stadium
Stoke
  • Ben Doak 34' goal
  • George Edmundson 43' yellowcard
  • Hayden Hackney 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Ben Doak 56' yellowcard
  • Finn Azaz 66' yellowcard
  • Hayden Hackney 73' goal
  • yellowcard Wouter Burger 11'
  • yellowcard Million Manhoef 27'
  • yellowcard Ben Wilmot 39'
  • yellowcard Tom Cannon 42'
  • yellowcard Junior Tchamadeu 59'
  • yellowcard Sam Gallagher 69'
  • yellowcard Michael Rose 82'
EFL Cup
Middlesbrough
Aug 27, 2024 7.15pm
0
5
HT : 0 1
FT Riverside Stadium
Stoke
  • goal Emre Tezgel 14'
  • goal Ryan Mmaee 57'
  • goal Lewis Koumas 60'
  • goal Million Manhoef 65'
  • goal Million Manhoef 69'
  • yellowcard Law McCabe 77'
Championship Gameweek 35
Stoke
Mar 2, 2024 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Bet365 Stadium
Middlesbrough
  • Joon-Ho Bae 40' goal
  • Josh Laurent 46' yellowcard
  • Ben Wilmot 51' yellowcard
  • Niall Ennis 62' yellowcard
  • Lewis Baker 71' goal
  • yellowcard Emmanuel Latte Lath 51'
Championship Gameweek 14
Middlesbrough
Oct 28, 2023 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Riverside Stadium
Stoke
  • Paddy McNair 53' yellowcard
  • Rav van den Berg 57' yellowcard
  • goal Michael Rose 8'
  • goal Mehdi Leris 37'
  • yellowcard Jordan Thompson 69'
  • yellowcard Enda Stevens 90'+2'
Championship Gameweek 37
Middlesbrough
Mar 14, 2023 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Riverside Stadium
Stoke
  • Chuba Akpom 23' goal
  • goal Ki-Jana Hoever 45'
Championship Gameweek 4
Stoke
Aug 17, 2022 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Bet365 Stadium
Middlesbrough
  • Jacob Brown 19' goal
  • Jacob Brown 41' yellowcard
  • Lewis Baker 51' yellowcard
  • D'Margio Wright-Phillips 90'+1' goal
  • goal Duncan Watmore 38'
  • goal Phil Jagielka 63' (OG)
  • yellowcard Anfernee Dijksteel 90'+1'

Form Data

Norwich 4 - 2 Stoke
Stoke 3 - 1 Swansea
Bristol City 2 - 0 Stoke
Stoke 3 - 3 Cardiff
Hull City 1 - 2 Stoke
Stoke 0 - 0 Oxford Utd
Bristol City 2 - 1 Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough 0 - 1 Watford
Sheff Utd 3 - 1 Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough 2 - 3 Sunderland
Preston 2 - 1 Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough 2 - 0 West Brom