Championship

Championship | Gameweek 31

Feb 25, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Bet365 Stadium

Stoke
1 - 3
Middlesbrough

Bae (45')
Conway (78'), Moran (83')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Forss (20'), Azaz (52'), Conway (73')
Borges (75'), Conway (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stoke City

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Norwich 4-2 Stoke
Saturday, February 22 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Middlesbrough

All competitions

Last Game: Bristol City 2-1 Middlesbrough
Friday, February 21 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 40.1%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 34.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 1-0 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
Stoke City	Draw	Middlesbrough
34.38% ( 0.1)	25.52% ( -0.04)	40.1% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 55.62% (

0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.72% (

0.2)

48.28% (

-0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.57% (

0.18)

70.42% (

-0.18)

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.01% (

0.16)

26.99% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.66% (

0.21)

62.34% (

-0.2)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.18% (

0.06)

23.81% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.01% (

0.09)

57.99% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

Stoke City 34.38%

Middlesbrough 40.1%

Draw 25.51%

Stoke City	Draw	Middlesbrough
1-0 @ 8.42% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.91% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.51% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.45% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.48% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.41% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.07% Total : 34.38%	1-1 @ 12.07% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.43% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.68% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.51%	0-1 @ 9.22% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 8.67% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.62% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 4.15% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.16% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.49% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.14% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.98% Total : 40.1%