Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 45.03%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 28.75% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (8.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%).