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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 43.83%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 29.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hull City | Draw | Stoke City |
| 43.83% ( | 26.63% ( | 29.54% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.26% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.62% ( | 54.37% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.24% ( | 75.75% ( |
| Hull City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.36% ( | 24.64% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.84% ( | 59.16% ( |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.7% ( | 33.3% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.08% ( | 69.92% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Hull City | Draw | Stoke City |
| 1-0 @ 11.49% ( 2-1 @ 8.85% ( 2-0 @ 8.05% ( 3-1 @ 4.13% ( 3-0 @ 3.76% ( 3-2 @ 2.27% ( 4-1 @ 1.45% ( 4-0 @ 1.32% ( Other @ 2.51% Total : 43.83% | 1-1 @ 12.63% ( 0-0 @ 8.21% ( 2-2 @ 4.87% ( Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.62% | 0-1 @ 9.02% ( 1-2 @ 6.95% ( 0-2 @ 4.96% ( 1-3 @ 2.55% ( 0-3 @ 1.82% ( 2-3 @ 1.78% ( Other @ 2.45% Total : 29.54% |